TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Nowak vs Grzegorz Jurowicz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Nowak
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Jurowicz to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Nowak above · Grzegorz Jurowicz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Grzegorz Jurowicz at 61.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nowak 12–8 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Nowak beat Jurowicz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jurowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Nowak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nowak 1233 vs Jurowicz 1312
Jurowicz
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowak 20% vs Jurowicz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowak 40% vs Jurowicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowak -2 · Jurowicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Jurowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.25 / Jurowicz 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Jurowicz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13176771
Nowak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog36% won 240 of 660
Down 0–1, comes back22% 85 of 396
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 230
Jurowicz1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 45 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak5wins
AwayJurowicz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak66.7%2 of 3
AwayJurowicz57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak3Jurowicz7n = 10Jurowicz took 7 of 10
S2Nowak5Jurowicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Nowak3Jurowicz7n = 10Jurowicz took 7 of 10
S4Nowak4Jurowicz4n = 8split evenly
S5Nowak4Jurowicz1n = 5Nowak took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakJurowiczN − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.342.8−3.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime678 / 1755 vs 316 / 80038.6%39.5%678 / 1755 vs 316 / 800Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JurowiczNowak 2.25/Jurowicz 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Jurowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 23:45J. Nowak238870G. Jurowicz331111113
WSep 22 · 19:40J. Nowak46119114113G. Jurowicz4991191192
WSep 8 · 22:55J. Nowak50613811123G. Jurowicz521111119102
WSep 8 · 16:55J. Nowak49811811113G. Jurowicz4211611772
LJul 6 · 11:55J. Nowak4011111892G. Jurowicz48118711113
WJul 6 · 05:55J. Nowak51517711113G. Jurowicz50111511852
WMar 4 · 12:30J. Nowak4011117113G. Jurowicz35971181
LMar 4 · 08:10J. Nowak279990G. Jurowicz331111113
LDec 24 · 24:10J. Nowak32471291G. Jurowicz43111110113
LOct 17 · 15:05J. Nowak351186101G. Jurowicz4391111123
J. Nowak10
LSep 22 · 22:10J. Nowak2.7591211612M. Koczyba1.401110611113LSep 22 · 21:00J. Nowak2.0068100M. Adamus1.731111123WSep 22 · 19:40G. Jurowicz1.6191191192J. Nowak2.20119114113LSep 22 · 18:55G. Marud1.73111112113J. Nowak2.00871421LSep 22 · 18:10J. Nowak1.9110L. Oracz1.8063WSep 22 · 16:35J. Nowak1.731111107113M. Adamus2.0097121162LSep 22 · 15:50M. Koczyba1.4411711113J. Nowak2.63611481WSep 21 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.805950J. Nowak1.901111113LSep 21 · 01:35S. Szostok1.511111143J. Nowak2.4089120WSep 20 · 23:35M. Sikon1.80615111182J. Nowak1.86111767113
G. Jurowicz10
WSep 23 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.4019100G. Jurowicz2.751111123WSep 22 · 22:55G. Jurowicz2.201111113L. Oracz1.616650LSep 22 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.504380G. Marud1.501111113LSep 22 · 19:40G. Jurowicz1.6191191192J. Nowak2.20119114113LSep 22 · 18:30G. Jurowicz2.386770M. Koczyba1.531111113LSep 22 · 17:20G. Jurowicz2.2010960M. Adamus1.611211113WSep 22 · 16:15G. Marud1.408980G. Jurowicz2.751111113LSep 22 · 15:25G. Jurowicz2.251021141L. Oracz1.5712118113LSep 18 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.4571111113G. Jurowicz2.50116691WSep 18 · 01:10M. Lebek1.3781180G. Jurowicz2.701113113
Upcoming Matches
J. Nowak
G. Jurowicz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.