TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Nowak vs Oliwier Sokolowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Nowak
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
121081112101210––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
121081112101210––
H2H Jakub Nowak 5–7 Oliwier Sokolowski Jakub Nowak has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Sokolowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Sokolowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nowak 1220 vs Sokolowski 1317
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowak 40% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowak 30% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowak -2 · Sokolowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.25 / Sokolowski 1.54
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sokolowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13179355
Nowak2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 240 of 660
Down 0–1, comes back22% 86 of 398
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 231
Sokolowski1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 85 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 64 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak3wins
AwaySokolowski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSokolowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak33.3%1 of 3
AwaySokolowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak3Sokolowski7n = 10Sokolowski took 7 of 10
S2Nowak4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Nowak5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Nowak3Sokolowski4n = 7Sokolowski took 4 of 7
S5Nowak1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakSokolowskiN − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.6−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime680 / 1760 vs 249 / 57538.6%43.3%680 / 1760 vs 249 / 575Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiNowak 2.25/Sokolowski 1.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 02:20J. Nowak331111113O. Sokolowski195950
LSep 20 · 20:20J. Nowak483111211112O. Sokolowski52119145133
LAug 26 · 01:45J. Nowak42121010101O. Sokolowski46101212123
LAug 12 · 08:45J. Nowak361161181O. Sokolowski4271113113
LAug 4 · 22:10J. Nowak47911111062O. Sokolowski44111912113
LJul 30 · 12:40J. Nowak218490O. Sokolowski331111113
LJul 30 · 06:30J. Nowak381461351O. Sokolowski49161111113
WJun 10 · 01:35J. Nowak3721113113O. Sokolowski361171171
WJun 3 · 05:10J. Nowak5610121111123O. Sokolowski42121433102
LMay 31 · 08:45J. Nowak208570O. Sokolowski331111113
J. Nowak10
LSep 24 · 24:25R. Wiza1.65117118113J. Nowak2.1081141192LSep 23 · 23:10K. Hetnar1.221111113J. Nowak4.003750WSep 23 · 21:35M. Lebek2.071311101172J. Nowak1.68158125113LSep 23 · 02:35J. Nowak2.103660L. Oracz1.671111113WSep 23 · 01:00J. Nowak2.209111112113G. Marud1.6111881492LSep 22 · 23:45J. Nowak2.258870G. Jurowicz1.571111113LSep 22 · 22:10J. Nowak2.7591211612M. Koczyba1.401110611113LSep 22 · 21:00J. Nowak2.0068100M. Adamus1.731111123WSep 22 · 19:40G. Jurowicz1.6191191192J. Nowak2.20119114113LSep 22 · 18:55G. Marud1.73111112113J. Nowak2.00871421
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 23 · 23:35M. Lebek1.501211711113O. Sokolowski2.40105111392LSep 23 · 22:50R. Wiza1.7891111123O. Sokolowski1.931167101WSep 23 · 21:10A. Burkacki1.9471570O. Sokolowski1.631117113LSep 21 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.805950J. Nowak1.901111113WSep 21 · 24:45M. Sikon1.90812981O. Sokolowski1.80111011113WSep 21 · 24:00R. Ogon3.0581111111O. Sokolowski1.2511135133LSep 20 · 23:10O. Sokolowski2.607119151S. Szostok1.4111511173LSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113WSep 20 · 20:20O. Sokolowski1.80119145133J. Nowak1.903111211112LSep 20 · 18:45M. Sikon1.9011126113O. Sokolowski1.765101181
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