TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Burkacki vs Jakub Nowak 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Adrian Burkacki
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711116115811115
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Nowak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
711116115811115
H2H Adrian Burkacki 5–8 Jakub Nowak Adrian Burkacki has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Burkacki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Nowak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1257 vs Nowak 1236
Burkacki
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 20% vs Nowak 40%
Nowak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 30% vs Nowak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -4 · Nowak +1
Burkacki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Burkacki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 1.66 / Nowak 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Burkacki)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13179354
Burkacki1.66
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 14 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Nowak2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 240 of 660
Down 0–1, comes back22% 86 of 398
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 231
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki3wins
AwayNowak7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNowak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki50%2 of 4
AwayNowak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S2Burkacki4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S3Burkacki4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S4Burkacki4Nowak3n = 7Burkacki took 4 of 7
S5Burkacki1Nowak3n = 4Nowak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiNowakB − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.70.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 357 vs 681 / 176135.6%38.7%127 / 357 vs 681 / 1761Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurkackiBurkacki 1.66/Nowak 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Burkacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 4 · 06:25A. Burkacki398101291J. Nowak44111210113
LJun 4 · 02:45A. Burkacki2471070J. Nowak341112113
WMay 21 · 05:35A. Burkacki47117711113J. Nowak3441111352
LMay 21 · 01:35A. Burkacki37119981J. Nowak4291111113
LFeb 26 · 09:20A. Burkacki56911111782J. Nowak54117619113
WFeb 26 · 24:35A. Burkacki351112123J. Nowak27710100
LFeb 19 · 06:10A. Burkacki209650J. Nowak331111113
LFeb 19 · 24:10A. Burkacki558161011102J. Nowak551114126123
WFeb 12 · 04:10A. Burkacki4291111113J. Nowak35119781
LFeb 11 · 23:50A. Burkacki521112101182J. Nowak49314129113
A. Burkacki10
WSep 24 · 04:00A. Burkacki2.1411411113R. Skotniczny1.64711881LSep 24 · 01:10A. Burkacki1.8261141372R. Wiza1.881161111113LSep 24 · 24:00A. Burkacki1.641110961K. Hetnar2.1451211113LSep 23 · 22:25A. Burkacki2.20159781M. Lebek1.57131111113LSep 23 · 21:10A. Burkacki1.9471570O. Sokolowski1.631117113WSep 10 · 08:45M. Lebek1.358950A. Burkacki2.801111113WSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791WSep 10 · 06:30P. Slosarczyk1.86791171A. Burkacki1.8311117113LSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071LSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850
J. Nowak10
WSep 24 · 03:35M. Lebek1.579121021J. Nowak2.27111012113WSep 24 · 01:35J. Nowak2.2512812123O. Sokolowski1.54101110101LSep 24 · 24:25R. Wiza1.65117118113J. Nowak2.1081141192LSep 23 · 23:10K. Hetnar1.221111113J. Nowak4.003750WSep 23 · 21:35M. Lebek2.071311101172J. Nowak1.68158125113LSep 23 · 02:35J. Nowak2.103660L. Oracz1.671111113WSep 23 · 01:00J. Nowak2.209111112113G. Marud1.6111881492LSep 22 · 23:45J. Nowak2.258870G. Jurowicz1.571111113LSep 22 · 22:10J. Nowak2.7591211612M. Koczyba1.401110611113LSep 22 · 21:00J. Nowak2.0068100M. Adamus1.731111123
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