TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Gazhula vs Dmytro Palii 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 54.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 2–0 Dmytro Palii Dmytro Palii has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gazhula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1500 vs Palii 1540
Palii
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 40% vs Palii 60%
Palii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 60% vs Palii 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula +2 · Palii +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Gazhula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.57 / Palii 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Gazhula)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13191466
Gazhula1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 41 days ago (Aug 15) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 50 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Palii2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGazhula2wins
AwayPalii0wins
Gazhula leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGazhulaPaliiG − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.022.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 467 vs 113 / 19647.3%57.7%221 / 467 vs 113 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.57/Palii 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 18 · 10:25O. Gazhula331111113D. Palii166820
WJun 17 · 18:55O. Gazhula4151114113D. Palii281111241
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171WAug 15 · 00:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112WAug 14 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.9111113113O. Lutsyshyn1.80381131
D. Palii10
LSep 25 · 22:15D. Palii2.101390M. Slozka1.671111113WSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 09:25D. Palii2.001111113T. Gil1.734850LSep 20 · 08:25D. Palii1.911112851M. Slozka1.8061411113LSep 20 · 06:55D. Palii1.67111270O. Sydorchuk2.101314113WSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii1.9111127113I. Kvak1.807101161WSep 19 · 17:55S. Prus2.2011711932D. Palii1.6181141183LSep 19 · 16:55D. Palii1.7381171182I. Kvak2.00115115113LSep 19 · 15:55D. Palii1.83211501M. Slozka1.8311611103LSep 19 · 14:25D. Palii1.611286101O. Sydorchuk2.20101111102
Upcoming Matches
O. Gazhula
D. Palii
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.