TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Palii vs Mykola Slozka 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
111311911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 46 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 56.2%
46 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 5–9 Mykola Slozka Dmytro Palii has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Slozka
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palii 1525 vs Slozka 1563
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 50% vs Slozka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii -1 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 2.10 / Slozka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Slozka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13191514
Palii2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Slozka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 66 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePalii3wins
AwaySlozka7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalii0%0 of 3
AwaySlozka57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S2Palii5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S3Palii5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Palii4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPaliiSlozkaP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.239.4−4.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 197 vs 336 / 75557.4%44.5%113 / 197 vs 336 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaPalii 2.10/Slozka 1.67
Hit
What we said
56.2%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 08:25D. Palii361112851M. Slozka4261411113
WSep 19 · 01:22D. Palii4141115113M. Slozka401191371
LSep 19 · 00:15D. Palii30122881M. Slozka43101111113
WSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii4181111113M. Slozka31114971
LSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii3741111652M. Slozka50118911113
LSep 10 · 21:45D. Palii28681131M. Slozka4211119113
LJun 13 · 07:25D. Palii239590M. Slozka331111113
WJun 12 · 13:55D. Palii4181111113M. Slozka24114451
LJun 11 · 23:45D. Palii4011831172M. Slozka50911118113
D. Palii10
LSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 09:25D. Palii2.001111113T. Gil1.734850LSep 20 · 08:25D. Palii1.911112851M. Slozka1.8061411113LSep 20 · 06:55D. Palii1.67111270O. Sydorchuk2.101314113WSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii1.9111127113I. Kvak1.807101161WSep 19 · 17:55S. Prus2.2011711932D. Palii1.6181141183LSep 19 · 16:55D. Palii1.7381171182I. Kvak2.00115115113LSep 19 · 15:55D. Palii1.83211501M. Slozka1.8311611103LSep 19 · 14:25D. Palii1.611286101O. Sydorchuk2.20101111102
M. Slozka10
WSep 25 · 20:15S. Prus2.251011101122M. Slozka1.57126126113WSep 20 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk2.508840M. Slozka1.501111113LSep 20 · 09:55I. Kvak1.675111112113M. Slozka2.10119131092WSep 20 · 08:25D. Palii1.911112851M. Slozka1.8061411113LSep 20 · 06:25T. Gil1.671211113M. Slozka2.1010630LSep 20 · 04:25S. Prus2.631211113M. Slozka1.4410680WSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.50116661M. Slozka1.5061111113LSep 19 · 17:25T. Gil1.67711614113M. Slozka2.10118111242WSep 19 · 15:55D. Palii1.83211501M. Slozka1.8311611103LSep 19 · 13:55I. Kvak1.671111113M. Slozka2.109680
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