TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811411––––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 53 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 66.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 2–6 Mykola Slozka Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Slozka
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1457 vs Slozka 1533
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Slozka 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Slozka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.50 / Slozka 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slozka)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13160920
Sydorchuk2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 36 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Slozka1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 69 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwaySlozka6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk50%2 of 4
AwaySlozka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S2Sydorchuk0Slozka8n = 8Slozka took 8 of 8
S3Sydorchuk3Slozka5n = 8Slozka took 5 of 8
S4Sydorchuk1Slozka4n = 5Slozka took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricSydorchukSlozkaSydorchuk − SlozkaBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match28.837.1−8.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 311 vs 340 / 76852.7%44.3%164 / 311 vs 340 / 768Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSydorchuk 2.50/Slozka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk29116661M. Slozka3961111113
LSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2073100M. Slozka341111123
WSep 11 · 02:15O. Sydorchuk48137125113M. Slozka471111101142
LSep 6 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk30125761M. Slozka43101111113
LSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk23621141M. Slozka3711114113
LAug 1 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk217680M. Slozka331111113
LMar 1 · 07:25O. Sydorchuk188460M. Slozka331111113
WFeb 7 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk4111511143M. Slozka315113121
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880WSep 20 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk1.7361111113I. Kvak2.00113651WSep 20 · 06:55D. Palii1.67111270O. Sydorchuk2.101314113LSep 20 · 05:25O. Sydorchuk2.63117611102T. Gil1.44911119123LSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.50116661M. Slozka1.5061111113LSep 19 · 16:25S. Prus1.7369121193O. Sydorchuk2.00111110582WSep 19 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk3.00511113113T. Gil1.3611711132WSep 19 · 14:25D. Palii1.611286101O. Sydorchuk2.20101111102WSep 19 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.8311118123I. Kvak1.834411101LSep 19 · 24:45S. Prus1.911212113O. Sydorchuk1.80101070
M. Slozka10
LSep 20 · 09:55I. Kvak1.675111112113M. Slozka2.10119131092WSep 20 · 08:25D. Palii1.911112851M. Slozka1.8061411113LSep 20 · 06:25T. Gil1.671211113M. Slozka2.1010630LSep 20 · 04:25S. Prus2.631211113M. Slozka1.4410680WSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.50116661M. Slozka1.5061111113LSep 19 · 17:25T. Gil1.67711614113M. Slozka2.10118111242WSep 19 · 15:55D. Palii1.83211501M. Slozka1.8311611103LSep 19 · 13:55I. Kvak1.671111113M. Slozka2.109680LSep 19 · 11:55S. Prus2.631191113113M. Slozka1.4481181522LSep 19 · 01:22M. Slozka1.281191371D. Palii3.5041115113
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