TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13156092
Played Sep 19Finished
Taras Gil
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111186111412114
Mykola Slozka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTaras Gil above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 95 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Taras Gil at 55.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Taras Gil 7–6 Mykola Slozka Mykola Slozka has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gil 1557 vs Slozka 1575
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gil 40% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gil 50% vs Slozka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gil -3 · Slozka +1
Gil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gil) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGil 1.67 / Slozka 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gil)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13156092
Gil1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Slozka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGil5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGil80%4 of 5
AwaySlozka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gil5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S2Gil7Slozka3n = 10Gil took 7 of 10
S3Gil5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Gil2Slozka6n = 8Slozka took 6 of 8
S5Gil3Slozka2n = 5Gil took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGilSlozkaG − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.3−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGilSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 219 vs 338 / 76256.6%44.4%124 / 219 vs 338 / 762Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilGil 1.67/Slozka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 12 · 09:55T. Gil501011711113M. Slozka4512911852
LSep 10 · 20:15T. Gil279990M. Slozka331111113
LSep 6 · 07:25T. Gil33713851M. Slozka44111111113
WSep 5 · 01:45T. Gil4811917113M. Slozka375111561
WAug 15 · 16:55T. Gil46111275113M. Slozka46610111182
WAug 9 · 05:25T. Gil331111113M. Slozka236890
WAug 8 · 12:55T. Gil521110146113M. Slozka47912121132
LFeb 21 · 17:55T. Gil4212156722M. Slozka5610131111113
LJan 31 · 12:55T. Gil4271111762M. Slozka50119811113
T. Gil10
WSep 19 · 18:55I. Kvak3.509730T. Gil1.281111113LSep 19 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk3.00511113113T. Gil1.3611711132LSep 19 · 13:25S. Prus3.0011119103T. Gil1.36741151LSep 19 · 12:25D. Palii2.38101111113T. Gil1.53128891WSep 12 · 10:55V. Kuzmych2.209511111T. Gil1.6111119133WSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113WSep 12 · 08:25S. Prus3.007711101T. Gil1.3611119123LSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev2.25111211113T. Gil1.57814781WSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113
M. Slozka10
WSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.50116661M. Slozka1.5061111113WSep 19 · 15:55D. Palii1.83211501M. Slozka1.8311611103LSep 19 · 13:55I. Kvak1.671111113M. Slozka2.109680LSep 19 · 11:55S. Prus2.631191113113M. Slozka1.4481181522LSep 19 · 01:22M. Slozka1.281191371D. Palii3.5041115113WSep 19 · 24:15D. Palii2.00122881M. Slozka1.73101111113WSep 18 · 22:45V. Korobko2.0011111091M. Slozka1.7391312113WSep 18 · 21:15S. Prus2.509540M. Slozka1.501111113WSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123LSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113
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