TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131214711––––
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Palii to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 68 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Palii at 56.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 3–2 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Palii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palii 1524 vs Sydorchuk 1471
Palii
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 60% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Palii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 70% vs Sydorchuk 30%
Palii
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii +2 · Sydorchuk -3
Sydorchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Palii) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 1.67 / Sydorchuk 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Palii)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13160861
Palii1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 10 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it50% 6 of 12
Sydorchuk2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 36 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePalii3wins
AwaySydorchuk2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPalii leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaliin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii2Sydorchuk3n = 5Sydorchuk took 3 of 5
S2Palii2Sydorchuk3n = 5Sydorchuk took 3 of 5
S3Palii4Sydorchuk1n = 5Palii took 4 of 5
S4Palii1Sydorchuk2n = 3Sydorchuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricPaliiSydorchukP − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.437.6+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 193 vs 163 / 30957.5%52.8%111 / 193 vs 163 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaliiPalii 1.67/Sydorchuk 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Palii · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 20 · 06:55D. Palii30111270O. Sydorchuk381314113
WSep 18 · 23:15D. Palii52149115133O. Sydorchuk541211911112
LSep 10 · 20:45D. Palii408131181O. Sydorchuk4211155113
WFeb 8 · 05:55D. Palii331111113O. Sydorchuk248790
WFeb 7 · 13:55D. Palii4291111113O. Sydorchuk30119551
D. Palii10
WSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii1.9111127113I. Kvak1.807101161WSep 19 · 17:55S. Prus2.2011711932D. Palii1.6181141183LSep 19 · 16:55D. Palii1.7381171182I. Kvak2.00115115113LSep 19 · 15:55D. Palii1.83211501M. Slozka1.8311611103LSep 19 · 14:25D. Palii1.611286101O. Sydorchuk2.20101111102WSep 19 · 12:25D. Palii2.38101111113T. Gil1.53128891WSep 19 · 01:22M. Slozka1.281191371D. Palii3.5041115113LSep 19 · 24:15D. Palii2.00122881M. Slozka1.73101111113WSep 18 · 23:15O. Sydorchuk2.201211911112D. Palii1.61149115133WSep 18 · 22:15S. Prus2.101141061D. Palii1.6751112113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 20 · 05:25O. Sydorchuk2.63117611102T. Gil1.44911119123LSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.50116661M. Slozka1.5061111113LSep 19 · 16:25S. Prus1.7369121193O. Sydorchuk2.00111110582WSep 19 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk3.00511113113T. Gil1.3611711132WSep 19 · 14:25D. Palii1.611286101O. Sydorchuk2.20101111102WSep 19 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.8311118123I. Kvak1.834411101LSep 19 · 24:45S. Prus1.911212113O. Sydorchuk1.80101070LSep 18 · 23:15O. Sydorchuk2.201211911112D. Palii1.61149115133LSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123
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