TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Palii vs Ihor Kvak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116113––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Palii to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 47 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Dmytro Palii at 58.6%
47 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 1–1 Ihor Kvak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Palii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Palii 1525 vs Kvak 1436
Palii
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 40% vs Kvak 20%
Palii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 50% vs Kvak 30%
Palii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii -1 · Kvak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Palii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 1.67 / Kvak 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Palii)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13196300
Palii1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 13 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it57% 8 of 14
Kvak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePalii1wins
AwayKvak1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPaliiKvakP − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.038.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 201 vs 35 / 6957.2%50.7%115 / 201 vs 35 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaliiPalii 1.67/Kvak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Palii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii4111127113I. Kvak347101161
LSep 19 · 16:55D. Palii4581171182I. Kvak43115115113
D. Palii10
WSep 26 · 18:25D. Palii2.0051111993I. Fashchevskyi1.7311681182WSep 26 · 15:25S. Prus2.501041121D. Palii1.5012113113WSep 26 · 14:25D. Palii2.2011111182M. Slozka1.61713781WSep 26 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.3361090D. Palii3.251112113LSep 26 · 03:15D. Palii2.0011311862I. Fashchevskyi1.73711611113WSep 26 · 01:15V. Korobko2.0055100D. Palii1.731111123WSep 25 · 23:15S. Prus2.259680D. Palii1.571111113LSep 25 · 22:15D. Palii2.101390M. Slozka1.671111113LSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113
I. Kvak10
LSep 26 · 15:55I. Kvak1.7311771152M. Slozka2.00311115113LSep 26 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.531111123I. Kvak2.3839100WSep 26 · 13:55S. Prus1.737650I. Kvak2.001111103LSep 20 · 11:25T. Gil1.253111112123I. Kvak3.751113810102WSep 20 · 09:55I. Kvak1.675111112113M. Slozka2.10119131092LSep 20 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk1.7361111113I. Kvak2.00113651LSep 20 · 05:55S. Prus1.80611611113I. Kvak1.9111711672LSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii1.9111127113I. Kvak1.807101161LSep 19 · 18:55I. Kvak3.509730T. Gil1.281111113WSep 19 · 16:55D. Palii1.7381171182I. Kvak2.00115115113
Upcoming Matches
D. Palii
I. Kvak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.