TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Korobko vs Dmytro Palii 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5115111012––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Palii to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Dmytro Palii at 56.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 0–1 Dmytro Palii Volodymyr Korobko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Palii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1447 vs Palii 1526
Palii
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 20% vs Palii 60%
Palii
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 40% vs Palii 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -2 · Palii +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Palii) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 2.00 / Palii 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Palii)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13191359
Korobko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Palii1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite41% won 11 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it50% 6 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKorobko0wins
AwayPalii1wins
Palii leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKorobkoPaliiK − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.049.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 463 vs 114 / 19944.7%57.3%207 / 463 vs 114 / 199Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaliiKorobko 2.00/Palii 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Palii · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 18 · 20:45V. Korobko4713119141D. Palii4915711163
V. Korobko10
WSep 26 · 02:15S. Prus1.912970V. Korobko1.801111113LSep 26 · 00:15V. Korobko2.25118581M. Slozka1.5781111113LSep 25 · 22:45V. Korobko1.8336100O. Gazhula1.831111123WSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671LSep 21 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi1.671111113V. Korobko2.107890LSep 21 · 01:15V. Korobko1.537670I. Fashchevskyi2.381111113WSep 21 · 00:15V. Korobko2.1011114113I. Pytsko1.67481141LSep 20 · 22:45V. Korobko3.50154761D. Maltsev1.28131111113WSep 20 · 20:45V. Korobko3.50101112113M. Potapov1.281281061LSep 19 · 01:49V. Korobko1.530411111S. Prus2.3811114133
D. Palii10
WSep 25 · 23:15S. Prus2.259680D. Palii1.571111113LSep 25 · 22:15D. Palii2.101390M. Slozka1.671111113LSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 09:25D. Palii2.001111113T. Gil1.734850LSep 20 · 08:25D. Palii1.911112851M. Slozka1.8061411113LSep 20 · 06:55D. Palii1.67111270O. Sydorchuk2.101314113WSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii1.9111127113I. Kvak1.807101161WSep 19 · 17:55S. Prus2.2011711932D. Palii1.6181141183LSep 19 · 16:55D. Palii1.7381171182I. Kvak2.00115115113
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