TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Prus vs Volodymyr Korobko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211911711––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Prus at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 1–1 Volodymyr Korobko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Korobko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prus 1462 vs Korobko 1436
Prus
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 0% vs Korobko 20%
Korobko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 40% vs Korobko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -5 · Korobko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korobko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 1.91 / Korobko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Korobko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13191612
Prus1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Korobko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 34 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePrus1wins
AwayKorobko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPrusKorobkoP − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.536.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 419 vs 207 / 46447.7%44.6%200 / 419 vs 207 / 464Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.234.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobkoPrus 1.91/Korobko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Korobko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 19 · 01:49S. Prus3911114133V. Korobko260411111
LSep 18 · 23:45S. Prus407131281V. Korobko47111510113
S. Prus10
LSep 26 · 00:45S. Prus2.108930O. Gazhula1.671111113LSep 25 · 23:15S. Prus2.259680D. Palii1.571111113LSep 25 · 21:45S. Prus2.1066100I. Fashchevskyi1.671111123LSep 25 · 20:15S. Prus2.251011101122M. Slozka1.57126126113LSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880WSep 20 · 07:25S. Prus2.7591211113T. Gil1.401110991WSep 20 · 05:55S. Prus1.80611611113I. Kvak1.9111711672WSep 20 · 04:25S. Prus2.631211113M. Slozka1.4410680LSep 19 · 17:55S. Prus2.2011711932D. Palii1.6181141183
V. Korobko10
LSep 26 · 01:15V. Korobko2.0055100D. Palii1.731111123LSep 26 · 00:15V. Korobko2.25118581M. Slozka1.5781111113LSep 25 · 22:45V. Korobko1.8336100O. Gazhula1.831111123WSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671LSep 21 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi1.671111113V. Korobko2.107890LSep 21 · 01:15V. Korobko1.537670I. Fashchevskyi2.381111113WSep 21 · 00:15V. Korobko2.1011114113I. Pytsko1.67481141LSep 20 · 22:45V. Korobko3.50154761D. Maltsev1.28131111113WSep 20 · 20:45V. Korobko3.50101112113M. Potapov1.281281061LSep 19 · 01:49V. Korobko1.530411111S. Prus2.3811114133
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