TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Prus vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6116111012––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeIvan Fashchevskyi to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ivan Fashchevskyi at 56.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 14–21 Ivan Fashchevskyi Serhii Prus has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fashchevskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-21 in 35
Fashchevskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1500 vs Fashchevskyi 1499
Prus
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 60% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 70% vs Fashchevskyi 50%
Prus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -2 · Fashchevskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fashchevskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.10 / Fashchevskyi 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Fashchevskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13191292
Prus2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Fashchevskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 72 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 50 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus4wins
AwayFashchevskyi6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus66.7%2 of 3
AwayFashchevskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus3Fashchevskyi7n = 10Fashchevskyi took 7 of 10
S2Prus3Fashchevskyi7n = 10Fashchevskyi took 7 of 10
S3Prus8Fashchevskyi2n = 10Prus took 8 of 10
S4Prus3Fashchevskyi5n = 8Fashchevskyi took 5 of 8
S5Prus3Fashchevskyi3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusFashchevskyiP − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.943.3−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 416 vs 301 / 60748.1%49.6%200 / 416 vs 301 / 607Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FashchevskyiPrus 2.10/Fashchevskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 13:25S. Prus27561151I. Fashchevskyi3711114113
WSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus48115138113I. Fashchevskyi49811111182
LSep 5 · 00:45S. Prus4311117952I. Fashchevskyi49971111113
WJul 17 · 00:15S. Prus331111113I. Fashchevskyi219840
WJul 15 · 11:55S. Prus541381111113I. Fashchevskyi4615117672
LJul 8 · 14:55S. Prus4791111882I. Fashchevskyi46116711113
LJul 4 · 05:55S. Prus45136111232I. Fashchevskyi541511710113
WJul 3 · 17:55S. Prus601181612133I. Fashchevskyi5913111410112
LJun 30 · 08:55S. Prus31581171I. Fashchevskyi3811115113
LJun 29 · 16:25S. Prus2110470I. Fashchevskyi341211113
S. Prus10
LSep 25 · 20:15S. Prus2.251011101122M. Slozka1.57126126113LSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880WSep 20 · 07:25S. Prus2.7591211113T. Gil1.401110991WSep 20 · 05:55S. Prus1.80611611113I. Kvak1.9111711672WSep 20 · 04:25S. Prus2.631211113M. Slozka1.4410680LSep 19 · 17:55S. Prus2.2011711932D. Palii1.6181141183WSep 19 · 16:25S. Prus1.7369121193O. Sydorchuk2.00111110582WSep 19 · 14:55S. Prus2.251111113I. Kvak1.576650WSep 19 · 13:25S. Prus3.0011119103T. Gil1.36741151
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671WSep 24 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011148113M. Potapov1.737121181WSep 24 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi2.501211108113Y. Tebenko1.50108121182WSep 24 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.25611811113D. Maltsev1.5711811462LSep 24 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.25811421O. Storozhenko1.5711611113LSep 24 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00911811112I. Pytsko1.73119113133WSep 23 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.2091411113O. Storozhenko1.611112971LSep 23 · 00:45M. Potapov1.8011412113I. Fashchevskyi1.917111051LSep 22 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi2.007690I. Pytsko1.731111113WSep 22 · 22:45Y. Tebenko1.501191081I. Fashchevskyi2.5091112113
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