TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Prus vs Oleksii Gazhula 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911311––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Oleksii Gazhula below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 53 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 6–4 Oleksii Gazhula Oleksii Gazhula has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gazhula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Prus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1473 vs Gazhula 1540
Gazhula
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 20% vs Gazhula 100%
Gazhula
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 50% vs Gazhula 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -4 · Gazhula +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Gazhula) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gazhula form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.10 / Gazhula 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Gazhula)+0.2pp
Setka Cup · #13191294
Prus2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Gazhula1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 50 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus6wins
AwayGazhula4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus100%4 of 4
AwayGazhula66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus4Gazhula6n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S2Prus6Gazhula4n = 10Prus took 6 of 10
S3Prus1Gazhula8n = 9Gazhula took 8 of 9
S4Prus6Gazhula0n = 6Prus took 6 of 6
S5Prus3Gazhula1n = 4Prus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusGazhulaP − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.8−1.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusGazhulaBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 418 vs 209 / 43747.9%47.8%200 / 418 vs 209 / 437Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaPrus 2.10/Gazhula 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 16 · 20:15S. Prus214890O. Gazhula331111113
WJul 15 · 17:55S. Prus341111123O. Gazhula2367100
WJun 18 · 04:25S. Prus51511911153O. Gazhula49118116132
LJun 17 · 13:25S. Prus3851141172O. Gazhula48116119113
WSep 21 · 08:25S. Prus50119811113O. Gazhula4271111942
WSep 20 · 15:55S. Prus3814112113O. Gazhula391291171
LAug 30 · 11:55S. Prus27101160O. Gazhula361213113
WAug 29 · 11:55S. Prus46912311113O. Gazhula48111011882
WAug 1 · 17:55S. Prus4311128123O. Gazhula4091011101
S. Prus10
LSep 25 · 23:15S. Prus2.259680D. Palii1.571111113LSep 25 · 21:45S. Prus2.1066100I. Fashchevskyi1.671111123LSep 25 · 20:15S. Prus2.251011101122M. Slozka1.57126126113LSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880WSep 20 · 07:25S. Prus2.7591211113T. Gil1.401110991WSep 20 · 05:55S. Prus1.80611611113I. Kvak1.9111711672WSep 20 · 04:25S. Prus2.631211113M. Slozka1.4410680LSep 19 · 17:55S. Prus2.2011711932D. Palii1.6181141183WSep 19 · 16:25S. Prus1.7369121193O. Sydorchuk2.00111110582
O. Gazhula10
WSep 25 · 23:45O. Gazhula1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.006980WSep 25 · 22:45V. Korobko1.8336100O. Gazhula1.831111123WSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171
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