TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Gazhula vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 14–8 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gazhula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Gazhula
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1527 vs Fashchevskyi 1513
Gazhula
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 80% vs Fashchevskyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 60% vs Fashchevskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula +4 · Fashchevskyi +1
Gazhula
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gazhula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.73 / Fashchevskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gazhula)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13191473
Gazhula1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 50 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Fashchevskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 93 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula5wins
AwayFashchevskyi5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula60%3 of 5
AwayFashchevskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Gazhula4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S3Gazhula7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Gazhula took 7 of 10
S4Gazhula5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S5Gazhula3Fashchevskyi4n = 7Fashchevskyi took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaFashchevskyiG − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.943.7+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 436 vs 302 / 60847.7%49.7%208 / 436 vs 302 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.73/Fashchevskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 10:25O. Gazhula4291131182I. Fashchevskyi45116116113
WJul 25 · 10:25O. Gazhula4111118113I. Fashchevskyi32771171
LJul 24 · 17:25O. Gazhula50119119102I. Fashchevskyi43411511123
LJul 17 · 02:15O. Gazhula4366111192I. Fashchevskyi49111197113
WJul 15 · 15:55O. Gazhula511110118113I. Fashchevskyi4471281162
WJun 26 · 16:25O. Gazhula4011513113I. Fashchevskyi365111191
LJun 26 · 00:45O. Gazhula341011671I. Fashchevskyi3812411113
LJun 18 · 07:25O. Gazhula3911511662I. Fashchevskyi48911611113
WJun 6 · 17:55O. Gazhula48711136113I. Fashchevskyi50119111182
WJun 5 · 23:15O. Gazhula619111119113I. Fashchevskyi52111331782
O. Gazhula10
WSep 26 · 00:45S. Prus2.108930O. Gazhula1.671111113WSep 25 · 22:45V. Korobko1.8336100O. Gazhula1.831111123WSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 25 · 21:45S. Prus2.1066100I. Fashchevskyi1.671111123LSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671WSep 24 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011148113M. Potapov1.737121181WSep 24 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi2.501211108113Y. Tebenko1.50108121182WSep 24 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.25611811113D. Maltsev1.5711811462LSep 24 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.25811421O. Storozhenko1.5711611113LSep 24 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00911811112I. Pytsko1.73119113133WSep 23 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.2091411113O. Storozhenko1.611112971LSep 23 · 00:45M. Potapov1.8011412113I. Fashchevskyi1.917111051LSep 22 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi2.007690I. Pytsko1.731111113
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