TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Gazhula vs Dmytro Palii 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 54.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 3–0 Dmytro Palii Dmytro Palii has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Gazhula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Gazhula
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1557 vs Palii 1544
Gazhula
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 80% vs Palii 60%
Gazhula
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 60% vs Palii 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula -1 · Palii +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gazhula) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.33 / Palii 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Gazhula)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13196926
Gazhula1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Palii3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 20 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGazhula3wins
AwayPalii0wins
Gazhula leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula2Palii1n = 3Gazhula took 2 of 3
S2Gazhula3Palii0n = 3Gazhula took 3 of 3
S3Gazhula3Palii0n = 3Gazhula took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGazhulaPaliiG − PBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.722.0+13.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 439 vs 116 / 20247.8%57.4%210 / 439 vs 116 / 202Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.33/Palii 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula331111113D. Palii225890
WJun 18 · 10:25O. Gazhula331111113D. Palii166820
WJun 17 · 18:55O. Gazhula4151114113D. Palii281111241
O. Gazhula10
WSep 26 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.80711112M. Slozka1.9111891LSep 26 · 02:45O. Gazhula1.67118671M. Slozka2.1021111113WSep 26 · 00:45S. Prus2.108930O. Gazhula1.671111113WSep 25 · 23:45O. Gazhula1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.006980WSep 25 · 22:45V. Korobko1.8336100O. Gazhula1.831111123WSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113
D. Palii10
WSep 26 · 14:25D. Palii2.2011111182M. Slozka1.61713781WSep 26 · 12:25D. Palii1.671111113I. Kvak2.105630LSep 26 · 03:15D. Palii2.0011311862I. Fashchevskyi1.73711611113WSep 26 · 01:15V. Korobko2.0055100D. Palii1.731111123WSep 25 · 23:15S. Prus2.259680D. Palii1.571111113LSep 25 · 22:15D. Palii2.101390M. Slozka1.671111113LSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 09:25D. Palii2.001111113T. Gil1.734850LSep 20 · 08:25D. Palii1.911112851M. Slozka1.8061411113
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