TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Prus vs Ihor Kvak 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611510––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-10
Point 50 set 3, 5-10 — our read held Serhii Prus at 56.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 3–2 Ihor Kvak Ihor Kvak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1426 vs Kvak 1412
Prus
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 0% vs Kvak 20%
Kvak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 20% vs Kvak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -8 · Kvak -2
Prus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Prus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 1.73 / Kvak 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Prus)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13196525
Prus1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 36 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Kvak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePrus3wins
AwayKvak2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPrus leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKvak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus2Kvak3n = 5Kvak took 3 of 5
S2Prus3Kvak2n = 5Prus took 3 of 5
S3Prus2Kvak2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricPrusKvakP − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.227.2+6.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 421 vs 35 / 7047.3%50%199 / 421 vs 35 / 70Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.134.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusPrus 1.73/Kvak 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kvak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 20 · 05:55S. Prus45611611113I. Kvak4211711672
WSep 19 · 14:55S. Prus331111113I. Kvak176650
WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus331111113I. Kvak176380
LAug 2 · 07:25S. Prus229940I. Kvak331111113
S. Prus10
LSep 26 · 12:55S. Prus2.385550M. Slozka1.531111103LSep 26 · 11:55S. Prus2.25351171I. Fashchevskyi1.5711118113LSep 26 · 02:15S. Prus1.912970V. Korobko1.801111113LSep 26 · 00:45S. Prus2.108930O. Gazhula1.671111113LSep 25 · 23:15S. Prus2.259680D. Palii1.571111113LSep 25 · 21:45S. Prus2.1066100I. Fashchevskyi1.671111123LSep 25 · 20:15S. Prus2.251011101122M. Slozka1.57126126113LSep 20 · 10:25S. Prus2.201271251D. Palii1.61101114113WSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880WSep 20 · 07:25S. Prus2.7591211113T. Gil1.401110991
I. Kvak10
LSep 26 · 12:25D. Palii1.671111113I. Kvak2.105630LSep 20 · 11:25T. Gil1.253111112123I. Kvak3.751113810102WSep 20 · 09:55I. Kvak1.675111112113M. Slozka2.10119131092LSep 20 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk1.7361111113I. Kvak2.00113651LSep 20 · 05:55S. Prus1.80611611113I. Kvak1.9111711672LSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii1.9111127113I. Kvak1.807101161LSep 19 · 18:55I. Kvak3.509730T. Gil1.281111113WSep 19 · 16:55D. Palii1.7381171182I. Kvak2.00115115113LSep 19 · 14:55S. Prus2.251111113I. Kvak1.576650WSep 19 · 13:55I. Kvak1.671111113M. Slozka2.109680
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