TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Slavik vs Erik Precek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181012411114911
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 59.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 3–3 Erik Precek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slavik 1610 vs Precek 1550
Slavik
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavik 20% vs Precek 60%
Precek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavik 40% vs Precek 60%
Precek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavik -1 · Precek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Slavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 1.57 / Precek 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Slavik)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13191289
Slavik1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 36 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Precek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 61 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSlavik3wins
AwayPrecek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlavik66.7%2 of 3
AwayPrecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slavik3Precek3n = 6split evenly
S2Slavik3Precek3n = 6split evenly
S3Slavik5Precek1n = 6Slavik took 5 of 6
S4Slavik3Precek2n = 5Slavik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSlavikPrecekS − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.337.8−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 229 vs 225 / 48151.5%46.8%118 / 229 vs 225 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikSlavik 1.57/Precek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik331111113E. Precek246990
LJul 9 · 06:15L. Slavik3875111232E. Precek491111610113
WJul 6 · 16:45L. Slavik3711114113E. Precek32761181
LJul 6 · 14:45L. Slavik44115117102E. Precek47711611123
WJun 15 · 09:10L. Slavik4491311113E. Precek361111861
LJun 15 · 07:40L. Slavik28461171E. Precek3911116113
L. Slavik10
LSep 23 · 12:40L. Slavik2.20910111552J. Skvrna1.611112813113WSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik2.251281211113J. Skvrna1.57101114892LSep 23 · 10:45L. Slavik2.005811101J. Krupnik1.7311118123LSep 23 · 09:45L. Slavik2.0071090B. Mrowetz1.731112113LSep 17 · 09:15R. Benes1.6211811113L. Slavik2.02511781WSep 17 · 07:45L. Slavik1.83911118113T. Kindl1.8311391142WSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111LSep 17 · 05:45L. Slavik1.83116761R. Benes1.8381111113LSep 16 · 09:04L. Slavik1.6751080M. Macurak2.101112113WSep 16 · 07:40M. Macurak1.83114111192L. Slavik1.83131117113
E. Precek10
LSep 23 · 09:14J. Krupnik1.6111711113E. Precek2.20711991WSep 23 · 08:10R. Solle3.257811131E. Precek1.3311117153LSep 23 · 07:10E. Precek2.2041111952R. Benes1.61114811113WSep 23 · 05:40J. Krupnik1.57111181192E. Precek2.25961113113WSep 21 · 21:13A. Kanak1.679880E. Precek2.101111113LSep 21 · 19:45E. Precek2.0051161172A. Kanak1.73119118113WSep 21 · 18:45E. Precek2.0011411113P. Vinansky1.73811331WSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 19 · 08:40D. Vitasek1.807111131E. Precek1.9111913113LSep 19 · 08:10D. Vitasek1.831111113E. Precek1.837840
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