TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Slavik vs Jan Skvrna 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Lukas Slavik
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91110121181513511
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 105 set 5, 5-11
105 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 4–5 Jan Skvrna Lukas Slavik has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 2.20 / Skvrna 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Skvrna)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13183542
Slavik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back37% 16 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Skvrna1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 159 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlavik4wins
AwaySkvrna5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSkvrna leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlavik75%3 of 4
AwaySkvrna80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slavik4Skvrna5n = 9Skvrna took 5 of 9
S2Slavik3Skvrna6n = 9Skvrna took 6 of 9
S3Slavik3Skvrna6n = 9Skvrna took 6 of 9
S4Slavik4Skvrna4n = 8split evenly
S5Slavik3Skvrna1n = 4Slavik took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlavikSkvrnaSlavik − SkvrnaBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match37.242.7−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 228 vs 482 / 83151.8%58%118 / 228 vs 482 / 831Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSlavik 2.20/Skvrna 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik541281211113J. Skvrna52101114892
LSep 15 · 09:45L. Slavik2045110J. Skvrna351111133
WSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik43641111113J. Skvrna3911118272
WSep 6 · 10:45L. Slavik46114119113J. Skvrna4231191182
LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik33116791J. Skvrna4181111113
LSep 1 · 11:45L. Slavik387128111J. Skvrna45111011133
LJul 2 · 13:40L. Slavik3351141122J. Skvrna51119119113
WJun 15 · 12:35L. Slavik43111011113J. Skvrna37812891
LJun 15 · 09:40L. Slavik25611261J. Skvrna4211911113
L. Slavik10
WSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik2.251281211113J. Skvrna1.57101114892LSep 23 · 10:45L. Slavik2.005811101J. Krupnik1.7311118123LSep 23 · 09:45L. Slavik2.0071090B. Mrowetz1.731112113LSep 17 · 09:15R. Benes1.6211811113L. Slavik2.02511781WSep 17 · 07:45L. Slavik1.83911118113T. Kindl1.8311391142WSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111LSep 17 · 05:45L. Slavik1.83116761R. Benes1.8381111113LSep 16 · 09:04L. Slavik1.6751080M. Macurak2.101112113WSep 16 · 07:40M. Macurak1.83114111192L. Slavik1.83131117113WSep 16 · 07:10D. Vitasek2.007760L. Slavik1.731111113
J. Skvrna10
LSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik2.251281211113J. Skvrna1.57101114892LSep 23 · 11:15B. Mrowetz1.911111113J. Skvrna1.807970LSep 23 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.6774111192J. Krupnik2.10111176113WSep 22 · 12:44J. Skvrna1.5711117113D. Pawlik2.25671191LSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113WSep 22 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.57125117113D. Pawlik2.25101151152LSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.501191171D. Jr2.5013116113LSep 20 · 21:24M. Macurak1.9111115113J. Skvrna1.80971161LSep 20 · 19:45M. Macurak2.1013118113J. Skvrna1.671171131WSep 20 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.6351211121J. Skvrna1.4411148143
Upcoming Matches
L. Slavik
Nothing scheduled
J. Skvrna
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