TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ivan Heuman vs Jan Skvrna 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911711811––
Jan Skvrna
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ivan Heuman at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 10–10 Jan Skvrna Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heuman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1594 vs Skvrna 1646
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 60% vs Skvrna 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 60% vs Skvrna 40%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman +3 · Skvrna +2
Heuman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.73 / Skvrna 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Heuman)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13188187
Heuman1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 46 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it67% 33 of 49
Skvrna2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 13 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman6wins
AwaySkvrna4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHeuman leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman50%3 of 6
AwaySkvrna25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman6Skvrna4n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S2Heuman6Skvrna4n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S3Heuman6Skvrna4n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S4Heuman5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S5Heuman1Skvrna2n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanSkvrnaH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.441.7+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 432 vs 486 / 83949.3%57.9%213 / 432 vs 486 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanHeuman 1.73/Skvrna 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 05:45I. Heuman3961111113J. Skvrna28119441
WJul 5 · 21:15I. Heuman49131011153J. Skvrna3811122131
WJul 5 · 19:40I. Heuman4311119123J. Skvrna379711101
LJun 22 · 07:45I. Heuman37119981J. Skvrna4071111113
WJun 15 · 17:10I. Heuman4571611113J. Skvrna401114781
LJun 15 · 14:10I. Heuman541212111182J. Skvrna551014713113
LJun 10 · 17:15I. Heuman32811761J. Skvrna3911611113
LJun 10 · 14:10I. Heuman4112111982J. Skvrna461011311113
WJun 5 · 17:10I. Heuman578151211113J. Skvrna561113101392
WJun 5 · 15:40I. Heuman3711122123J. Skvrna3871011101
I. Heuman10
WSep 24 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.914101561I. Heuman1.80111213113WSep 24 · 07:15I. Heuman2.20117117113J. Krupnik1.6181141122WSep 24 · 05:45J. Skvrna1.73119441I. Heuman2.0061111113LSep 21 · 08:48I. Heuman1.7311111962D. Pawlik2.00661111113LSep 21 · 08:15I. Heuman2.10119861R. Benes1.6751111113LSep 21 · 06:45T. Krenek1.80111311113I. Heuman1.91815771WSep 21 · 06:15D. Pawlik2.2011861152I. Heuman1.61811115113WSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990LSep 16 · 20:15I. Heuman1.7338100A. Cizek2.001111123WSep 16 · 18:45D. Stusek1.4497111172I. Heuman2.63111186113
J. Skvrna10
WSep 24 · 07:45J. Skvrna1.676111211113J. Krupnik2.1011914142WSep 24 · 06:45J. Skvrna1.531113410113D. Pawlik2.38211111262LSep 24 · 05:45J. Skvrna1.73119441I. Heuman2.0061111113WSep 23 · 16:48M. Zaskodny2.7591112121J. Skvrna1.4011714143LSep 23 · 16:10J. Skvrna1.306111191M. Zaskodny3.4011813113LSep 23 · 14:40D. Sarganek1.831112113J. Skvrna1.8331080LSep 23 · 14:10A. Baros1.73511136113J. Skvrna2.00116111182WSep 23 · 12:40L. Slavik2.20910111552J. Skvrna1.611112813113LSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik2.251281211113J. Skvrna1.57101114892LSep 23 · 11:15B. Mrowetz1.911111113J. Skvrna1.807970
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