TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marek Zaskodny vs Jan Skvrna 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Marek Zaskodny
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111712141214––
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMarek Zaskodny above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 90 set 4, 12-14
90 points played in total.
H2H Marek Zaskodny 3–13 Jan Skvrna Marek Zaskodny has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zaskodny beat Skvrna 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaskodny 2.75 / Skvrna 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Skvrna)+4.3pp
TT Cup · #13184896
Zaskodny2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 43 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Skvrna1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 159 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaskodny3wins
AwaySkvrna7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaskodny75%3 of 4
AwaySkvrna100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaskodny4Skvrna6n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S2Zaskodny2Skvrna8n = 10Skvrna took 8 of 10
S3Zaskodny4Skvrna6n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S4Zaskodny4Skvrna3n = 7Zaskodny took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaskodnySkvrnaZ − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.837.2−5.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaskodnySkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 294 vs 483 / 83541.2%57.8%121 / 294 vs 483 / 835Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaZaskodny 2.75/Skvrna 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.6%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 16:10M. Zaskodny4311813113J. Skvrna376111191
LMay 24 · 10:40M. Zaskodny359142101J. Skvrna46111211123
LApr 16 · 21:08M. Zaskodny2375110J. Skvrna351111133
LApr 16 · 18:40M. Zaskodny229760J. Skvrna331111113
LApr 10 · 17:10M. Zaskodny208480J. Skvrna331111113
LApr 10 · 14:40M. Zaskodny28117551J. Skvrna3961111113
LApr 3 · 16:15M. Zaskodny341181141J. Skvrna4013115113
LMar 6 · 22:15M. Zaskodny3951191132J. Skvrna51119119113
WMar 6 · 21:15M. Zaskodny3611311113J. Skvrna26411561
WMar 1 · 17:10M. Zaskodny3811511113J. Skvrna32711591
M. Zaskodny10
WSep 23 · 16:10J. Skvrna1.306111191M. Zaskodny3.4011813113LSep 23 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.207460A. Baros1.611111113WSep 23 · 13:40D. Sarganek1.83471371M. Zaskodny1.83111111113LSep 20 · 17:14F. Chaloupka1.501111113M. Zaskodny2.504680LSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151LSep 14 · 16:50M. Zaskodny2.2064111192F. Sikora1.61111177113LSep 14 · 16:10D. Sarganek2.00118118113M. Zaskodny1.7341161152LSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133
J. Skvrna10
LSep 23 · 16:10J. Skvrna1.306111191M. Zaskodny3.4011813113LSep 23 · 14:40D. Sarganek1.831112113J. Skvrna1.8331080LSep 23 · 14:10A. Baros1.73511136113J. Skvrna2.00116111182WSep 23 · 12:40L. Slavik2.20910111552J. Skvrna1.611112813113LSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik2.251281211113J. Skvrna1.57101114892LSep 23 · 11:15B. Mrowetz1.911111113J. Skvrna1.807970LSep 23 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.6774111192J. Krupnik2.10111176113WSep 22 · 12:44J. Skvrna1.5711117113D. Pawlik2.25671191LSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113WSep 22 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.57125117113D. Pawlik2.25101151152
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