TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Farsky vs Karel Polak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Karel Farsky
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311116––––
Karel Polak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeKarel Farsky to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Farsky above · Karel Polak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 60 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Karel Farsky at 64.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Karel Farsky 1–0 Karel Polak Karel Polak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Farsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Farsky 1447 vs Polak 1419
Farsky
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Farsky 60% vs Polak 80%
Polak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Farsky 70% vs Polak 50%
Farsky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Farsky +1 · Polak +4
Polak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Farsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFarsky 1.44 / Polak 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Farsky)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13186251
Farsky1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 52 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it69% 37 of 54
Polak2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog59% won 33 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back29% 4 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFarsky1wins
AwayPolak0wins
Farsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFarskyPolakF − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.038.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFarskyPolakBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 350 vs 164 / 32748.9%50.2%171 / 350 vs 164 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskyFarsky 1.44/Polak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Farsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 10 · 07:30K. Farsky4013115113K. Polak381181181
K. Farsky10
WSep 24 · 14:30P. Abraham2.50671116122K. Farsky1.501111414143LSep 24 · 14:00L. Tuma2.63811112113K. Farsky1.4411861172WSep 20 · 20:44J. Hanacek1.80111081192K. Farsky1.91612115113WSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113LSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113WSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590WSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 06:00K. Farsky1.611216113M. Vorel2.20101450
K. Polak10
WSep 24 · 15:00L. Tuma1.5312790K. Polak2.381411113WSep 24 · 13:30P. Abraham1.53118981K. Polak2.3881111113WSep 22 · 16:39K. Polak1.67111489113M. Hasman2.10512111192WSep 22 · 15:30M. Hasman1.8398110K. Polak1.831111133LSep 22 · 15:00K. Polak2.0010870O. Plyska1.731211113LSep 22 · 14:00K. Polak2.251221091M. Vana1.57101112113LSep 21 · 16:58M. Melisek2.501111113K. Polak1.503890WSep 21 · 16:00K. Polak1.611114123M. Melisek2.20512100LSep 21 · 14:30E. Ondracek1.83911137123K. Polak1.831181111102LSep 21 · 14:00P. Fiser1.731111113K. Polak2.004870
Upcoming Matches
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