TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Sveshnykov vs Anton Danylov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115911911117117
Anton Danylov
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 77.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 8–4 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:01What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Sveshnykov
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1312 vs Danylov 1066
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 80% vs Danylov 40%
Sveshnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 70% vs Danylov 40%
Sveshnykov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov +4 · Danylov -2
Sveshnykov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danylov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.30 / Danylov 3.40
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13185543
Sveshnykov1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 32 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Danylov3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 29 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSveshnykov8wins
AwayDanylov2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov83.3%5 of 6
AwayDanylov25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov6Danylov4n = 10Sveshnykov took 6 of 10
S2Sveshnykov8Danylov2n = 10Sveshnykov took 8 of 10
S3Sveshnykov6Danylov4n = 10Sveshnykov took 6 of 10
S4Sveshnykov6Danylov2n = 8Sveshnykov took 6 of 8
S5Sveshnykov2Danylov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSveshnykovDanylovS − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.336.9+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 284 vs 43 / 13340.9%32.3%116 / 284 vs 43 / 133Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.133.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.30/Danylov 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 17:29R. Sveshnykov4311813113A. Danylov305111131
LSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov47141151162A. Danylov48164116113
WJun 6 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov491111106113A. Danylov4559121182
WApr 11 · 06:00R. Sveshnykov43111110113A. Danylov32761271
WMar 29 · 11:58R. Sveshnykov47121112123A. Danylov4314910101
WMar 22 · 11:18R. Sveshnykov341111123A. Danylov2394100
WMar 22 · 06:30R. Sveshnykov331111113A. Danylov249690
WMar 8 · 17:30R. Sveshnykov47851112113A. Danylov40111121062
WMar 1 · 10:30R. Sveshnykov4171112113A. Danylov331181041
LFeb 15 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov3912116552A. Danylov511081111113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181WSep 24 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.2011141111113V. Hyriavyi4.3351613942WSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991LSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100LSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101
A. Danylov10
LSep 24 · 14:30A. Danylov1.67111011542V. Hyriavyi2.10512811113LSep 24 · 13:30O. Badanin1.5011116113A. Danylov2.50741171WSep 24 · 12:30A. Danylov1.83711911113O. Levytskyi1.8311511842WSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860LSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 13:30A. Danylov2.001113113V. Hyriavyi1.7331190LSep 20 · 12:00A. Danylov1.91461171S. Zherykhin1.8011117113LSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.