TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ales Barton vs Mark Robin Wagner 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Ales Barton
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511118117112––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingAles Barton above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 66 set 4, 11-2
66 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 0–1 Mark Robin Wagner Ales Barton has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Barton beat Wagner 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Barton)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.33 / Wagner 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Barton)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182611
Barton1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Wagner3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 33 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBarton0wins
AwayWagner1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderWagner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBartonWagnerB − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.049.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 432 vs 98 / 18552.3%53%226 / 432 vs 98 / 185Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.33/Wagner 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 17 · 23:00A. Barton4331191192M. Wagner49119117113
A. Barton10
LSep 23 · 08:30A. Barton1.73511481J. Simecek2.0011711113WSep 23 · 07:00A. Barton1.401111123M. Wagner2.7575100LSep 23 · 06:00R. Urbaniec2.751291114113A. Barton1.40141191282WSep 18 · 03:00A. Barton1.631111123J. Ruzicka2.1364100WSep 18 · 02:30A. Barton2.2511118153O. Kolisnyk1.578911131LSep 18 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.38118815113A. Barton1.53911111352WSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192WSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110LSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113
M. Wagner10
LSep 23 · 08:00R. Urbaniec1.801171113113M. Wagner1.9151161552LSep 23 · 07:00A. Barton1.401111123M. Wagner2.7575100LSep 23 · 06:30M. Wagner2.10651171J. Simecek1.6711117113LSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner1.6769140O. Svacha2.101111163LSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143LSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101LSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130LSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110WSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192
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