TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Strelec vs Petr Chlad 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Adam Strelec
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611911––––
Petr Chlad
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Strelec to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Strelec above · Petr Chlad below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Adam Strelec at 58.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Adam Strelec 4–2 Petr Chlad Petr Chlad has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chlad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Strelec
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strelec 1410 vs Chlad 1413
Chlad
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strelec 40% vs Chlad 80%
Chlad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strelec 40% vs Chlad 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strelec -3 · Chlad +2
Strelec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strelec) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrelec 2.00 / Chlad 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strelec)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13180687
Strelec2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 35 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Chlad1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 33 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStrelec4wins
AwayChlad2wins
5 of 6 to a deciderStrelec leads 4–2, and 5 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrelec100%3 of 3
AwayChlad66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strelec3Chlad3n = 6split evenly
S2Strelec6Chlad0n = 6Strelec took 6 of 6
S3Strelec3Chlad3n = 6split evenly
S4Strelec1Chlad5n = 6Chlad took 5 of 6
S5Strelec3Chlad2n = 5Strelec took 3 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricStrelecChladS − CBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match44.843.3+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrelecChladBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 244 vs 136 / 28049.6%48.6%121 / 244 vs 136 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrelecStrelec 2.00/Chlad 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strelec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chlad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec46711111072P. Chlad51119812113
WSep 2 · 06:40A. Strelec49111197113P. Chlad4788111192
WAug 6 · 05:45A. Strelec521111811113P. Chlad4457111382
WAug 5 · 05:45A. Strelec3911116113P. Chlad29941151
WJun 30 · 05:45A. Strelec40311114113P. Chlad4211991122
LApr 9 · 06:10A. Strelec43101111742P. Chlad47128511113
A. Strelec10
LSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7361111153A. Strelec2.001138131LSep 23 · 06:15I. Jemelka1.7312812113A. Strelec2.0010111091LSep 22 · 09:15J. Matus1.731111143A. Strelec2.0097120WSep 22 · 07:40A. Strelec1.531311113J. Sevecek2.3811470WSep 22 · 06:40A. Strelec1.83119811113J. Matus1.8391111982LSep 22 · 05:40A. Strelec1.5311691182L. Snr2.38711113113LSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153WSep 21 · 08:10A. Strelec1.801012711113J. Matus1.91121011752WSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler1.7381171172A. Strelec2.00117114113LSep 21 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.73612915123A. Strelec2.0011101113102
P. Chlad10
WSep 23 · 07:15P. Chlad1.73711311113I. Jemelka2.0011611982WSep 23 · 05:45J. Sindler1.6111119572P. Chlad2.20871111113LSep 17 · 09:15J. Sindler1.60511136113P. Chlad2.20119111192WSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113WSep 17 · 07:10J. Matus2.25451181P. Chlad1.5711115113LSep 17 · 06:10P. Chlad2.006111061J. Sindler1.7311612113LSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123WSep 15 · 16:10P. Chlad1.6791111113R. Benesz2.10116891LSep 15 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.8091111113P. Chlad1.91117391LSep 15 · 14:10T. Ogrocki2.20111111113P. Chlad1.61813681
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