TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jiri Matus vs Adam Strelec 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jiri Matus
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171412––––
Adam Strelec
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJiri Matus above · Adam Strelec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 64 set 3, 14-12
64 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Matus 11–17 Adam Strelec Jiri Matus has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Strelec beat Matus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Matus)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatus 1.73 / Strelec 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strelec)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13176736
Matus1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 90 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 63 of 84
Strelec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 35 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMatus4wins
AwayStrelec6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStrelec leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatus50%2 of 4
AwayStrelec66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matus4Strelec6n = 10Strelec took 6 of 10
S2Matus6Strelec4n = 10Matus took 6 of 10
S3Matus5Strelec5n = 10split evenly
S4Matus4Strelec4n = 8split evenly
S5Matus2Strelec4n = 6Strelec took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMatusStrelecM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.2+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatusStrelecBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 441 vs 121 / 24151.9%50.2%229 / 441 vs 121 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrelecMatus 1.73/Strelec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Matus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Matus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 06:40J. Matus4891111982A. Strelec50119811113
LSep 21 · 08:10J. Matus45121011752A. Strelec511012711113
LSep 15 · 07:10J. Matus283411101A. Strelec4311119123
LSep 14 · 09:33J. Matus46111071172A. Strelec41212115113
WSep 14 · 06:10J. Matus505111011133A. Strelec47118125112
WSep 9 · 09:20J. Matus3911116113A. Strelec28371171
LSep 9 · 06:15J. Matus45811411112A. Strelec50119116133
WAug 28 · 08:38J. Matus331111113A. Strelec176560
LAug 28 · 07:10J. Matus226790A. Strelec331111113
WAug 1 · 12:45J. Matus51911119113A. Strelec4211751182
J. Matus10
WSep 22 · 08:10J. Matus1.3311911113L. Snr3.25411481LSep 22 · 06:40A. Strelec1.83119811113J. Matus1.8391111982WSep 22 · 06:10J. Sevecek1.801011371J. Matus1.9112611113WSep 21 · 08:55J. Matus2.1011115113I. Jemelka1.65581181LSep 21 · 08:10A. Strelec1.801012711113J. Matus1.91121011752WSep 21 · 07:10J. Matus2.2511111113I. Jemelka1.57911571LSep 21 · 05:40J. Sindler1.67512811113J. Matus2.10111011462WSep 20 · 08:45F. Mandrysz1.91814981J. Matus1.80111211113LSep 20 · 07:45J. Sindler1.7311414133J. Matus2.0061112111WSep 20 · 07:15M. Sobota1.80126871J. Matus1.91101111113
A. Strelec10
WSep 22 · 07:40A. Strelec1.531311113J. Sevecek2.3811470WSep 22 · 06:40A. Strelec1.83119811113J. Matus1.8391111982LSep 22 · 05:40A. Strelec1.5311691182L. Snr2.38711113113LSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153WSep 21 · 08:10A. Strelec1.801012711113J. Matus1.91121011752WSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler1.7381171172A. Strelec2.00117114113LSep 21 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.73612915123A. Strelec2.0011101113102LSep 15 · 09:13A. Strelec2.63821181I. Jemelka1.4411118113WSep 15 · 07:40I. Jemelka1.7328120A. Strelec2.001111143WSep 15 · 07:10J. Matus1.833411101A. Strelec1.8311119123
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