TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Moravek vs Radek Bartunek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Jiri Moravek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199111178111210
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Moravek above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 63.7%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Moravek 6–13 Radek Bartunek Jiri Moravek has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bartunek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Bartunek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravek 1419 vs Bartunek 1489
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravek 40% vs Bartunek 80%
Bartunek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravek 50% vs Bartunek 90%
Bartunek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravek -2 · Bartunek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Bartunek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravek 2.50 / Bartunek 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Bartunek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178904
Moravek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 13 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Bartunek1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 113 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it87% 85 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravek3wins
AwayBartunek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBartunek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravek66.7%2 of 3
AwayBartunek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravek3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S2Moravek3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S3Moravek5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S4Moravek4Bartunek2n = 6Moravek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravekBartunekM − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.8−1.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravekBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 173 vs 347 / 66449.1%52.3%85 / 173 vs 347 / 664Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekMoravek 2.50/Bartunek 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 21:30J. Moravek247980R. Bartunek331111113
LSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek377911101R. Bartunek4011116123
LMay 27 · 21:28J. Moravek216690R. Bartunek331111113
LMay 27 · 20:00J. Moravek29931161R. Bartunek3911116113
LMay 20 · 21:30J. Moravek4276111172R. Bartunek50111189113
WMay 20 · 18:30J. Moravek4211119113R. Bartunek24441151
LMay 12 · 19:00J. Moravek46118611102R. Bartunek49711118123
WApr 19 · 20:59J. Moravek341112113R. Bartunek1811070
LApr 19 · 19:00J. Moravek208840R. Bartunek331111113
WApr 1 · 21:06J. Moravek45111112113R. Bartunek391381081
J. Moravek10
WSep 23 · 20:58V. Kosar1.678690J. Moravek2.101111113LSep 23 · 20:30V. Kosar2.101111113J. Moravek1.672780LSep 23 · 18:30J. Steffan1.571211113J. Moravek2.2510770LSep 21 · 21:30R. Bartunek1.671111113J. Moravek2.087980WSep 21 · 20:30J. Moravek1.5711911113M. Stefek2.25411471LSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123WSep 21 · 18:00V. Nohejl1.44111211792J. Moravek2.63814811113WAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:30J. Didi3.00116671J. Moravek1.3681111113WAug 30 · 19:30J. Moravek2.001111113M. Stefek1.737690
R. Bartunek10
LSep 23 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.671081181J. Steffan2.1012117113WSep 23 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.61117115133V. Kosar2.20611911112WSep 23 · 03:30R. Bartunek1.681113113M. Stefek2.0581150LSep 23 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.73111110113R. Bartunek2.00851281WSep 23 · 01:00M. Stefek2.501111891R. Bartunek1.5013511113WSep 22 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.53118119113T. Regner2.3881171172WSep 22 · 22:00R. Bartunek1.5311711113J. Strnad2.38811951WSep 21 · 21:30R. Bartunek1.671111113J. Moravek2.087980WSep 21 · 20:00V. Nohejl2.0012740R. Bartunek1.731411113WSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123
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R. Bartunek
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