TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Dolezal vs Radek Bartunek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181151012118––
Radek Bartunek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 23–13 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:47What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-13 in 36
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1373 vs Bartunek 1466
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Bartunek 100%
Bartunek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 20% vs Bartunek 80%
Bartunek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Bartunek +7
Bartunek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.73 / Bartunek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169955
Dolezal1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it83% 99 of 119
Bartunek2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog36% won 43 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal7wins
AwayBartunek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal75%3 of 4
AwayBartunek33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal4Bartunek6n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S2Dolezal6Bartunek4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S3Dolezal4Bartunek6n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S4Dolezal7Bartunek1n = 8Dolezal took 7 of 8
S5Dolezal3Bartunek1n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalBartunekD − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.638.4+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 778 vs 345 / 66249.9%52.1%388 / 778 vs 345 / 662Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.73/Bartunek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 02:30V. Dolezal43111110113R. Bartunek33851281
WSep 17 · 03:00V. Dolezal521091111113R. Bartunek4712117892
LSep 16 · 23:30V. Dolezal2410680R. Bartunek341211113
WSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal40411311113R. Bartunek4011311692
WSep 8 · 24:00V. Dolezal3811511113R. Bartunek30611671
LSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal34119591R. Bartunek3851111113
WSep 2 · 18:00V. Dolezal541311811113R. Bartunek4315311862
LAug 21 · 03:07V. Dolezal54316121492R. Bartunek6211141412113
WAug 21 · 02:30V. Dolezal4371411113R. Bartunek331112731
WJun 6 · 24:00V. Dolezal341111123R. Bartunek2468100
V. Dolezal10
LSep 23 · 03:03V. Dolezal2.3010780J. Strnad1.551211113WSep 23 · 01:30T. Regner2.3881181172V. Dolezal1.53119118113LSep 23 · 24:00V. Dolezal1.44891191M. Stefek2.6311113113LSep 22 · 23:00J. Strnad1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20711891WSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad1.6141131152V. Dolezal2.20116117113LSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:00V. Dolezal2.00311100J. Steffan1.731113123LSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl2.10711117113V. Dolezal1.6711691162LSep 20 · 08:58T. Kolenic2.101111113V. Dolezal1.678580LSep 20 · 08:00D. Horak1.281111133V. Dolezal3.5077110
R. Bartunek10
WSep 23 · 03:30R. Bartunek1.681113113M. Stefek2.0581150WSep 23 · 01:00M. Stefek2.501111891R. Bartunek1.5013511113WSep 22 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.53118119113T. Regner2.3881171172WSep 22 · 22:00R. Bartunek1.5311711113J. Strnad2.38811951WSep 21 · 21:30R. Bartunek1.671111113J. Moravek2.087980WSep 21 · 20:00V. Nohejl2.0012740R. Bartunek1.731411113WSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123WSep 21 · 18:30R. Bartunek1.5061111113M. Stefek2.50117881LSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 02:30J. Steffan1.9159150R. Bartunek1.801111173
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R. Bartunek
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