TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Nohejl
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711116119711116
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 61.4%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Nohejl 2–4 Vaclav Dolezal Tomas Nohejl has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1425 vs Dolezal 1372
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Dolezal 40%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 60% vs Dolezal 40%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +1 · Dolezal -3
Dolezal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.10 / Dolezal 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Dolezal)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163542
Nohejl2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 12 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Dolezal1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it84% 99 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNohejl2wins
AwayDolezal4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderDolezal leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDolezal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl1Dolezal5n = 6Dolezal took 5 of 6
S2Nohejl5Dolezal1n = 6Nohejl took 5 of 6
S3Nohejl4Dolezal2n = 6Nohejl took 4 of 6
S4Nohejl0Dolezal4n = 4Dolezal took 4 of 4
S5Nohejl1Dolezal2n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricNohejlDolezalN − DBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match37.241.3−4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 191 vs 385 / 77253.4%49.9%102 / 191 vs 385 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalNohejl 2.10/Dolezal 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl47711117113V. Dolezal4311691162
LJun 30 · 08:00T. Nohejl3871112712V. Dolezal491161011113
WJun 25 · 10:30T. Nohejl341111123V. Dolezal2798100
LJun 25 · 09:29T. Nohejl30121170V. Dolezal381413113
LJun 25 · 06:30T. Nohejl50711146122V. Dolezal551171211143
LFeb 26 · 08:30T. Nohejl24011761V. Dolezal3611311113
T. Nohejl10
WSep 18 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.67108100T. Nohejl2.101211123LSep 18 · 08:30T. Nohejl1.80611861Z. Drabek1.9111911113WSep 18 · 07:00T. Nohejl1.6751112113Z. Zikmunda2.101181051WSep 18 · 06:00M. Stefek2.75111211262T. Nohejl1.4013101110113LSep 16 · 17:30T. Nohejl1.7110990T. Regner2.001211113WSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2.2576100T. Nohejl1.571111123WSep 16 · 15:30T. Nohejl1.831112133T. Regner1.83810110WSep 16 · 14:30L. Sulava1.833650T. Nohejl1.831111113LSep 15 · 17:00T. Nohejl2.00511731L. Havel1.7311611113LSep 15 · 16:00T. Nohejl1.61111011892M. Barta2.20112111113
V. Dolezal10
LSep 21 · 07:00V. Dolezal2.00311100J. Steffan1.731113123LSep 20 · 08:58T. Kolenic2.101111113V. Dolezal1.678580LSep 20 · 08:00D. Horak1.281111133V. Dolezal3.5077110LSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761WSep 20 · 06:30V. Dolezal1.9111111113T. Kolenic1.80811511WSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.1011511113J. Steffan1.67811661LSep 17 · 24:30M. Smrcek1.4411117113V. Dolezal2.63941151LSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal2.381015111272P. Picek1.531213714113
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