TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118111115111––
Tibor Kolenic
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:36 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 59 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 56.4%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 1–0 Tibor Kolenic Tibor Kolenic has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolenic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1433 vs Kolenic 1458
Kolenic
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Kolenic 60%
Kolenic
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Kolenic 70%
Kolenic
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +2 · Kolenic +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolenic) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.91 / Kolenic 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolenic)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159318
Dolezal1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 37 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Kolenic1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 69 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDolezal1wins
AwayKolenic0wins
Dolezal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDolezalKolenicD − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.025.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 768 vs 255 / 54850.1%46.5%385 / 768 vs 255 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicDolezal 1.91/Kolenic 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 06:30V. Dolezal3411111113T. Kolenic25811511
V. Dolezal10
LSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761WSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.1011511113J. Steffan1.67811661LSep 17 · 24:30M. Smrcek1.4411117113V. Dolezal2.63941151LSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal2.381015111272P. Picek1.531213714113WSep 16 · 02:58V. Dolezal3.001111113P. Picek1.367660LSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113LSep 16 · 01:00V. Dolezal2.63561171A. Svoboda1.4411119113WSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113
T. Kolenic10
WSep 20 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.00861111113D. Horak1.7311119992WSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392LSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113WSep 18 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.8391311123A. Svoboda1.8311119101WSep 18 · 14:00D. Horak1.50411661T. Kolenic2.5011611113LSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.20118461Y. Holovatiuk1.6021111113WSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.8011611113F. Briza1.91611981WSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171WSep 16 · 14:00J. Dedek1.83971111102T. Kolenic1.83111177123LSep 15 · 16:59T. Kolenic1.8011711892A. Svoboda1.91411811113
Upcoming Matches
V. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
T. Kolenic
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