TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116811117116––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 55.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 1–1 Vaclav Dolezal Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:04What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Briza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Briza 1349 vs Dolezal 1448
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 0% vs Dolezal 60%
Dolezal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 20% vs Dolezal 50%
Dolezal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -6 · Dolezal +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Briza)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.61 / Dolezal 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Briza)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13159417
Briza1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 76 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it100% 41 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it73% 54 of 74
Dolezal2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 37 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBriza1wins
AwayDolezal1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBrizaDolezalB − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.531.0+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 827 vs 385 / 76745.1%50.2%373 / 827 vs 385 / 767Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaBriza 1.61/Dolezal 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 4 · 11:00F. Briza331111113V. Dolezal217680
LNov 20 · 01:00F. Briza34117881V. Dolezal4181111113
F. Briza10
LSep 20 · 06:00D. Horak1.61691211113F. Briza2.20111110952LSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak1.57811411113F. Briza2.2511711692LSep 19 · 24:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 18 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80112911113F. Briza1.9171111762LSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392WSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113WSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151LSep 18 · 14:30A. Svoboda1.91611119133F. Briza1.80115811112LSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751
V. Dolezal10
WSep 20 · 06:30V. Dolezal1.9111111113T. Kolenic1.80811511WSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.1011511113J. Steffan1.67811661LSep 17 · 24:30M. Smrcek1.4411117113V. Dolezal2.63941151LSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal2.381015111272P. Picek1.531213714113WSep 16 · 02:58V. Dolezal3.001111113P. Picek1.367660LSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113LSep 16 · 01:00V. Dolezal2.63561171A. Svoboda1.4411119113WSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Briza
V. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
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