TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145562
Played Sep 18Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111151189111311
Frantisek Briza
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 96 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 56.3%
96 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 4–9 Frantisek Briza Adam Svoboda has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:52What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Briza
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Briza
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1470 vs Briza 1365
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Briza 0%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 50% vs Briza 10%
Svoboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Briza -6
Briza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.91 / Briza 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145562
Svoboda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Briza1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 76 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it100% 41 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 54 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda3wins
AwayBriza7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBriza leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda20%1 of 5
AwayBriza60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S2Svoboda5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S3Svoboda5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S4Svoboda3Briza4n = 7Briza took 4 of 7
S5Svoboda0Briza4n = 4Briza took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaBrizaS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.3−0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 328 vs 376 / 82652.7%45.5%173 / 328 vs 376 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.91/Briza 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 15:30A. Svoboda44115511122F. Briza49811115143
WSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda3851111113F. Briza25113471
LSep 12 · 22:30A. Svoboda45111161162F. Briza47571113113
LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda46111112392F. Briza48661411113
LAug 22 · 17:00A. Svoboda4611911782F. Briza47911511113
LAug 22 · 16:00A. Svoboda237880F. Briza331111113
LAug 15 · 20:00A. Svoboda2781360F. Briza371115113
WAug 8 · 02:00A. Svoboda3741111113F. Briza31116771
LJul 18 · 24:00A. Svoboda437914131F. Briza49111112153
WJul 17 · 19:30A. Svoboda331111113F. Briza174580
A. Svoboda10
LSep 16 · 02:30P. Picek1.5781111113A. Svoboda2.25117721WSep 16 · 01:00V. Dolezal2.63561171A. Svoboda1.4411119113WSep 15 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.661071111113P. Klusacek2.0512117892LSep 15 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.808811101J. Steffan1.9111116123WSep 15 · 16:59T. Kolenic1.8011711892A. Svoboda1.91411811113LSep 15 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.001171171P. Klusacek1.7313114113LSep 15 · 15:30F. Briza1.91811115143A. Svoboda1.80115511122WSep 15 · 14:00A. Svoboda2.20711118113T. Kolenic1.6111691182LSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113WSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163
F. Briza10
LSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.8011611113F. Briza1.91611981LSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113LSep 16 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4471111113F. Briza2.63112961LSep 15 · 17:30P. Klusacek2.1011313113F. Briza1.658111181LSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.57881111113F. Briza2.2511119872WSep 15 · 15:30F. Briza1.91811115143A. Svoboda1.80115511122LSep 15 · 14:30P. Klusacek1.61811167113F. Briza2.20117141192LSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda1.7351111113F. Briza2.00113471LSep 13 · 01:30F. Briza2.6310121161A. Mikuska1.44121013113
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