TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13131871
Played Sep 15Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012711117118119
Patrik Klusacek
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Patrik Klusacek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 1–1 Patrik Klusacek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Klusacek beat Svoboda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:35What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1485 vs Klusacek 1600
Klusacek
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 40% vs Klusacek 80%
Klusacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Klusacek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Klusacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klusacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.66 / Klusacek 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13131871
Svoboda1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Klusacek2.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSvoboda1wins
AwayKlusacek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSvobodaKlusacekS − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match43.043.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaKlusacekBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 326 vs 7 / 1152.8%63.6%172 / 326 vs 7 / 11Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.742.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.66/Klusacek 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 15 · 23:30A. Svoboda501071111113P. Klusacek4712117892
LSep 15 · 16:00A. Svoboda361171171P. Klusacek3913114113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 15 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.808811101J. Steffan1.9111116123WSep 15 · 16:59T. Kolenic1.8011711892A. Svoboda1.91411811113LSep 15 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.001171171P. Klusacek1.7313114113LSep 15 · 15:30F. Briza1.91811115143A. Svoboda1.80115511122WSep 15 · 14:00A. Svoboda2.20711118113T. Kolenic1.6111691182LSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113WSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113WSep 14 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.63117311113K. Darin1.4491111792WSep 14 · 09:00M. Stefek2.008730A. Svoboda1.731111113
P. Klusacek10
WSep 16 · 24:30J. Steffan2.3811119772P. Klusacek1.53361111113LSep 15 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.5712516972V. Dolezal2.2510111411113WSep 15 · 17:30P. Klusacek2.1011313113F. Briza1.658111181WSep 15 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.001171171P. Klusacek1.7313114113WSep 15 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.00811711102P. Klusacek1.73118119123WSep 15 · 14:30P. Klusacek1.61811167113F. Briza2.20117141192LSep 15 · 03:30P. Klusacek1.99134451J. Steffan1.71111111113WSep 15 · 01:30P. Klusacek1.7381111133O. Vitrovyj2.001168111LSep 15 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.001141110113P. Klusacek1.7361151282WSep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan2.10711931P. Klusacek1.6711611113
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