TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
David Horak
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6119111210119115
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Horak to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Horak above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 95 set 5, 11-5 — our read held David Horak at 63.5%
95 points played in total.
H2H David Horak 56–38 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 38 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Horak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-38 in 94
Horak
Correct
gap of 18 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horak 1403 vs Briza 1364
Horak
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 40% vs Briza 0%
Horak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 30% vs Briza 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak -1 · Briza -5
Briza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Horak) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.61 / Briza 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Horak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159412
Horak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 137 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it94% 76 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 127
Briza2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 76 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak7wins
AwayBriza3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHorak leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorak100%5 of 5
AwayBriza60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S2Horak5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S3Horak5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S4Horak7Briza2n = 9Horak took 7 of 9
S5Horak4Briza2n = 6Horak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakBrizaH − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.440.5+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 512 vs 374 / 82853.7%45.2%275 / 512 vs 374 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 1.61/Briza 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 06:00D. Horak49691211113F. Briza46111110952
WSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak45811411113F. Briza4411711692
LSep 18 · 15:30D. Horak341081151F. Briza4012116113
LSep 2 · 16:30D. Horak4541381372F. Briza5511111111113
WAug 27 · 01:00D. Horak49116511163F. Briza52911117142
WAug 15 · 21:04D. Horak4311912113F. Briza357111071
WAug 15 · 18:30D. Horak351311113F. Briza2111730
WAug 7 · 22:00D. Horak4211119113F. Briza28551171
WAug 7 · 14:30D. Horak42117211113F. Briza4041111682
LAug 6 · 15:30D. Horak4091111722F. Briza44116511113
D. Horak10
LSep 20 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.00861111113D. Horak1.7311119992LSep 19 · 02:58D. Horak1.301061181O. Kucirek3.4012119113WSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak1.57811411113F. Briza2.2511711692LSep 19 · 01:00D. Horak2.2057111142A. Svoboda1.61111165113LSep 19 · 24:00M. Placek1.44111111123D. Horak2.631347101WSep 18 · 22:30O. Kucirek3.5091111101D. Horak1.2811139123LSep 18 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.2811811113D. Horak3.50611681LSep 18 · 16:00D. Horak1.8312271162A. Svoboda1.831011119113LSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151LSep 18 · 14:00D. Horak1.50411661T. Kolenic2.5011611113
F. Briza10
WSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761LSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak1.57811411113F. Briza2.2511711692LSep 19 · 24:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 18 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80112911113F. Briza1.9171111762LSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392WSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113WSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151LSep 18 · 14:30A. Svoboda1.91611119133F. Briza1.80115811112LSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751
Upcoming Matches
D. Horak
Nothing scheduled
F. Briza
Event Chatroom
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