TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147067
Played Sep 19Finished
Marek Placek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131141171210––
David Horak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Placek above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Marek Placek at 63.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 18–8 David Horak David Horak has won 8 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-8 in 26
Placek
Correct
gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1436 vs Horak 1411
Placek
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 20% vs Horak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 40% vs Horak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek +1 · Horak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Placek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 1.44 / Horak 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Placek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147067
Placek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Horak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 22 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlacek10wins
AwayHorak0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPlacek leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek100%7 of 7
AwayHorak0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek7Horak3n = 10Placek took 7 of 10
S2Placek7Horak3n = 10Placek took 7 of 10
S3Placek7Horak3n = 10Placek took 7 of 10
S4Placek8Horak0n = 8Placek took 8 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlacekHorakP − HBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.731.4+10.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 398 vs 274 / 51151.5%53.6%205 / 398 vs 274 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekPlacek 1.44/Horak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 24:00M. Placek45111111123D. Horak341347101
WSep 4 · 14:30M. Placek4071111113D. Horak33117961
WJun 14 · 12:00M. Placek51118813113D. Horak43511111152
WJun 12 · 15:00M. Placek4212811113D. Horak331011571
WMay 23 · 21:30M. Placek341111123D. Horak2495100
WMay 23 · 18:00M. Placek4391211113D. Horak341110491
WMay 3 · 06:30M. Placek331111113D. Horak186750
WMay 1 · 21:30M. Placek4211119113D. Horak34771191
WMay 1 · 18:30M. Placek4111811113D. Horak27911521
WApr 19 · 02:30M. Placek4611119153D. Horak346411131
M. Placek10
WSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950LSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962LSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890LSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133WSep 12 · 22:00M. Placek1.831111113M. Kolar1.838870WSep 12 · 20:58M. Placek1.5012119113F. Briza2.501081181WSep 12 · 20:30F. Briza2.108890M. Placek1.671111113LSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113LSep 12 · 18:30F. Jungman1.6771111113M. Placek2.10117991
D. Horak10
WSep 18 · 22:30O. Kucirek3.5091111101D. Horak1.2811139123LSep 18 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.2811811113D. Horak3.50611681LSep 18 · 16:00D. Horak1.8312271162A. Svoboda1.831011119113LSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151LSep 18 · 14:00D. Horak1.50411661T. Kolenic2.5011611113WSep 13 · 09:29D. Horak1.931311113D. Barton1.7811680LSep 13 · 08:00D. Barton2.20761111113D. Horak1.6111117152WSep 13 · 07:00M. Stefek4.50138941D. Horak1.17111111113WSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.