TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147082
Played Sep 18Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117115511911911
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 56.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 55–38 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 38 of their 93 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolenic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-38 in 93
Kolenic
Wrong
gap of 17 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1464 vs Briza 1391
Kolenic
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 80% vs Briza 20%
Kolenic
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 60% vs Briza 20%
Kolenic
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic +2 · Briza +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 1.67 / Briza 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolenic)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147082
Kolenic1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 69 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 77
Briza2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 75 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic8wins
AwayBriza2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic100%4 of 4
AwayBriza33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic4Briza6n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S2Kolenic6Briza4n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S3Kolenic8Briza2n = 10Kolenic took 8 of 10
S4Kolenic5Briza3n = 8Kolenic took 5 of 8
S5Kolenic5Briza2n = 7Kolenic took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicBrizaK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.540.9+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 552 vs 377 / 82846.6%45.5%257 / 552 vs 377 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicKolenic 1.67/Briza 2.10
Miss
What we said
57%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic3911611113F. Briza34611981
WSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic49881111113F. Briza4611119872
WAug 28 · 21:08T. Kolenic45116116113F. Briza3981141152
WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic571013811153F. Briza551211118132
WAug 22 · 21:29T. Kolenic331111113F. Briza227870
WAug 22 · 19:00T. Kolenic331111113F. Briza226880
WAug 7 · 17:01T. Kolenic43511115113F. Briza4711891182
LAug 7 · 16:30T. Kolenic4085111152F. Briza45111175113
LAug 6 · 17:28T. Kolenic45121121282F. Briza521461110113
WAug 6 · 14:30T. Kolenic51911119113F. Briza4711991172
T. Kolenic10
WSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392WSep 18 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.8391311123A. Svoboda1.8311119101WSep 18 · 14:00D. Horak1.50411661T. Kolenic2.5011611113LSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.20118461Y. Holovatiuk1.6021111113WSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.8011611113F. Briza1.91611981WSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171WSep 16 · 14:00J. Dedek1.83971111102T. Kolenic1.83111177123LSep 15 · 16:59T. Kolenic1.8011711892A. Svoboda1.91411811113WSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.57881111113F. Briza2.2511119872LSep 15 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.00811711102P. Klusacek1.73118119123
F. Briza10
LSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392WSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151LSep 18 · 14:30A. Svoboda1.91611119133F. Briza1.80115811112LSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.8011611113F. Briza1.91611981LSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113LSep 16 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4471111113F. Briza2.63112961LSep 15 · 17:30P. Klusacek2.1011313113F. Briza1.658111181LSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.57881111113F. Briza2.2511119872WSep 15 · 15:30F. Briza1.91811115143A. Svoboda1.80115511122
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