TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13157511
Played Sep 19Finished
David Horak
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611119811––
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Horak above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11
78 points played in total.
H2H David Horak 6–3 Ondrej Kucirek Ondrej Kucirek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Horak beat Kucirek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.30 / Kucirek 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 27%
Edge (Horak)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13157511
Horak1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 135 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it94% 75 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Kucirek3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHorak6wins
AwayKucirek3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHorak leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorak100%5 of 5
AwayKucirek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak5Kucirek4n = 9Horak took 5 of 9
S2Horak6Kucirek3n = 9Horak took 6 of 9
S3Horak5Kucirek4n = 9Horak took 5 of 9
S4Horak4Kucirek1n = 5Horak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricHorakKucirekH − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match36.132.9+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 513 vs 215 / 43253.6%49.8%275 / 513 vs 215 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 1.30/Kucirek 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.5%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 18 · 22:30D. Horak4511139123O. Kucirek4191111101
WAug 29 · 01:30D. Horak331111113O. Kucirek137150
WAug 27 · 02:00D. Horak3511112113O. Kucirek31691151
WAug 2 · 24:00D. Horak381116113O. Kucirek2431470
WJul 11 · 01:30D. Horak517101111123O. Kucirek43111246102
LApr 3 · 02:59D. Horak32671181O. Kucirek4111118113
WApr 3 · 24:30D. Horak341111123O. Kucirek2679100
LSep 12 · 21:30D. Horak205960O. Kucirek331111113
LSep 12 · 20:00D. Horak3761171122O. Kucirek44113118113
D. Horak10
WSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak1.57811411113F. Briza2.2511711692LSep 19 · 01:00D. Horak2.2057111142A. Svoboda1.61111165113LSep 19 · 24:00M. Placek1.44111111123D. Horak2.631347101WSep 18 · 22:30O. Kucirek3.5091111101D. Horak1.2811139123LSep 18 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.2811811113D. Horak3.50611681LSep 18 · 16:00D. Horak1.8312271162A. Svoboda1.831011119113LSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151LSep 18 · 14:00D. Horak1.50411661T. Kolenic2.5011611113WSep 13 · 09:29D. Horak1.931311113D. Barton1.7811680LSep 13 · 08:00D. Barton2.20761111113D. Horak1.6111117152
O. Kucirek10
LSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113WSep 19 · 24:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.8301211133O. Kucirek1.8311103111LSep 18 · 22:30O. Kucirek3.5091111101D. Horak1.2811139123WSep 16 · 20:58O. Kucirek2.001211113J. Steffan1.7310440LSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191WSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.20111111113J. Steffan1.61621351LSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262LSep 15 · 03:00O. Kucirek2.75211631O. Vitrovyj1.4011611113WSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113
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