TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147075
Played Sep 19Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111171012911––
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 70.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 9–2 Ondrej Kucirek Ondrej Kucirek has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Briza
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Briza
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1354 vs Kucirek 1454
Kucirek
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 40% vs Kucirek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 20% vs Kucirek 40%
Kucirek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -3 · Kucirek -2
Briza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Briza) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.33 / Kucirek 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Briza)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147075
Briza1.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 76 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it100% 41 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 54 of 72
Kucirek3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza8wins
AwayKucirek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBriza leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza100%8 of 8
AwayKucirekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza8Kucirek2n = 10Briza took 8 of 10
S2Briza7Kucirek3n = 10Briza took 7 of 10
S3Briza7Kucirek3n = 10Briza took 7 of 10
S4Briza2Kucirek3n = 5Kucirek took 3 of 5
S5Briza3Kucirek1n = 4Briza took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaKucirekB − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.930.9+9.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 833 vs 215 / 43145.4%49.9%378 / 833 vs 215 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaBriza 1.33/Kucirek 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 24:30F. Briza377111091O. Kucirek4111712113
LAug 27 · 03:00F. Briza4681171192O. Kucirek49119117113
WAug 26 · 22:00F. Briza51137911113O. Kucirek44111111652
WAug 24 · 20:30F. Briza331111113O. Kucirek259970
WAug 1 · 23:00F. Briza331111113O. Kucirek163670
WNov 20 · 03:30F. Briza48116119113O. Kucirek3931161182
WJul 25 · 22:30F. Briza331111113O. Kucirek217770
WJan 30 · 01:00F. Briza331111113O. Kucirek175750
WJan 23 · 02:00F. Briza331111113O. Kucirek198380
WJan 9 · 02:00F. Briza521191110113O. Kucirek3861121272
F. Briza10
LSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 18 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80112911113F. Briza1.9171111762LSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392WSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113WSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151LSep 18 · 14:30A. Svoboda1.91611119133F. Briza1.80115811112LSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.8011611113F. Briza1.91611981LSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113LSep 16 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4471111113F. Briza2.63112961
O. Kucirek10
LSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113LSep 18 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.8301211133O. Kucirek1.8311103111LSep 18 · 22:30O. Kucirek3.5091111101D. Horak1.2811139123WSep 16 · 20:58O. Kucirek2.001211113J. Steffan1.7310440LSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191WSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.20111111113J. Steffan1.61621351LSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262LSep 15 · 03:00O. Kucirek2.75211631O. Vitrovyj1.4011611113WSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113WSep 15 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.001141110113P. Klusacek1.7361151282
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