TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411116311117511
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 80 set 5, 5-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 30–23 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 23 of their 53 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Strnad beat Dolezal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.61 / Dolezal 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Strnad)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168554
Strnad1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 134 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 137
Dolezal2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad9wins
AwayDolezal1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%5 of 5
AwayDolezal20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad8Dolezal2n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S3Strnad7Dolezal3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Strnad6Dolezal1n = 7Strnad took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadDolezalS − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.833.8+7.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1120 vs 385 / 77349.1%49.8%550 / 1120 vs 385 / 773Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.61/Dolezal 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 08:30J. Strnad4681111163V. Dolezal361138141
WAug 6 · 22:30J. Strnad341211113V. Dolezal2310580
WJun 30 · 07:30J. Strnad331111113V. Dolezal209830
WJun 22 · 24:00J. Strnad3711113123V. Dolezal359511101
WJun 15 · 01:30J. Strnad56481815113V. Dolezal571111161362
WJun 14 · 02:58J. Strnad331111113V. Dolezal268990
WJun 13 · 23:30J. Strnad4111118113V. Dolezal25441161
WJun 11 · 22:00J. Strnad44101111123V. Dolezal361268101
LJun 8 · 11:00J. Strnad357111161V. Dolezal4411913113
WJun 7 · 03:00J. Strnad49871112113V. Dolezal36111121022
J. Strnad10
WSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:30J. Strnad2.1047110T. Nohejl1.671111133LSep 21 · 06:30J. Steffan1.251111133J. Strnad3.7596110LSep 19 · 13:30J. Strnad2.10106100M. Stefek1.671211123WSep 19 · 12:30V. Sr2.208101411112J. Strnad1.611112129133WSep 19 · 11:30J. Strnad2.75141111113M. Stefek1.40169551WSep 19 · 10:30P. Berdych2.1041161162J. Strnad1.67118119113LSep 18 · 20:58T. Regner1.331411113J. Strnad3.2512870LSep 18 · 20:30J. Strnad2.007570L. Sulava1.731111113LSep 18 · 19:00J. Strnad3.2561111682T. Regner1.33118711113
V. Dolezal10
LSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:00V. Dolezal2.00311100J. Steffan1.731113123LSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl2.10711117113V. Dolezal1.6711691162LSep 20 · 08:58T. Kolenic2.101111113V. Dolezal1.678580LSep 20 · 08:00D. Horak1.281111133V. Dolezal3.5077110LSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761WSep 20 · 06:30V. Dolezal1.9111111113T. Kolenic1.80811511WSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.1011511113J. Steffan1.67811661LSep 17 · 24:30M. Smrcek1.4411117113V. Dolezal2.63941151
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