TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Dolezal vs Jaroslav Strnad 1964 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
2.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711811––––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 24–31 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Vaclav Dolezal has won 24 of their 55 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Strnad beat Dolezal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.30 / Strnad 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13181610
Dolezal2.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 39 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 47
Strnad1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 135 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal1wins
AwayStrnad9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal25%1 of 4
AwayStrnad100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S2Dolezal2Strnad8n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S3Dolezal3Strnad7n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Dolezal0Strnad7n = 7Strnad took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalStrnadD − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.939.9−6.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 778 vs 552 / 112049.9%49.3%388 / 778 vs 552 / 1120Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadDolezal 2.30/Strnad 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 23:00V. Dolezal35711891J. Strnad4111811113
WSep 21 · 08:58V. Dolezal46116117113J. Strnad3441131152
LSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal361138141J. Strnad4681111163
LAug 6 · 22:30V. Dolezal2310580J. Strnad341211113
LJun 30 · 07:30V. Dolezal209830J. Strnad331111113
LJun 22 · 24:00V. Dolezal359511101J. Strnad3711113123
LJun 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal571111161362J. Strnad56481815113
LJun 14 · 02:58V. Dolezal268990J. Strnad331111113
LJun 13 · 23:30V. Dolezal25441161J. Strnad4111118113
LJun 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal361268101J. Strnad44101111123
V. Dolezal10
WSep 23 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.73111110113R. Bartunek2.00851281WSep 23 · 01:30T. Regner2.3881181172V. Dolezal1.53119118113LSep 23 · 24:00V. Dolezal1.44891191M. Stefek2.6311113113LSep 22 · 23:00J. Strnad1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20711891WSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad1.6141131152V. Dolezal2.20116117113LSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:00V. Dolezal2.00311100J. Steffan1.731113123LSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl2.10711117113V. Dolezal1.6711691162LSep 20 · 08:58T. Kolenic2.101111113V. Dolezal1.678580LSep 20 · 08:00D. Horak1.281111133V. Dolezal3.5077110
J. Strnad10
LSep 23 · 02:00M. Stefek1.4461111113J. Strnad2.63119861WSep 23 · 24:30J. Strnad3.40911611113T. Regner1.3011811832WSep 22 · 23:00J. Strnad1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20711891LSep 22 · 22:00R. Bartunek1.5311711113J. Strnad2.38811951LSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad1.6141131152V. Dolezal2.20116117113WSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:30J. Strnad2.1047110T. Nohejl1.671111133LSep 21 · 06:30J. Steffan1.251111133J. Strnad3.7596110LSep 19 · 13:30J. Strnad2.10106100M. Stefek1.671211123WSep 19 · 12:30V. Sr2.208101411112J. Strnad1.611112129133
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