TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811118119––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 30–24 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 24 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:35What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-24 in 54
Strnad
Correct
gap of 6 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1371 vs Dolezal 1381
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 20% vs Dolezal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 40% vs Dolezal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -2 · Dolezal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.61 / Dolezal 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168707
Strnad1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 135 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 137
Dolezal2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 39 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad8wins
AwayDolezal2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%5 of 5
AwayDolezal40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad9Dolezal1n = 10Strnad took 9 of 10
S3Strnad6Dolezal4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Strnad6Dolezal1n = 7Strnad took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadDolezalS − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.8+4.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1117 vs 386 / 77449.2%49.9%550 / 1117 vs 386 / 774Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.61/Dolezal 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.5%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad3441131152V. Dolezal46116117113
WSep 21 · 08:30J. Strnad4681111163V. Dolezal361138141
WAug 6 · 22:30J. Strnad341211113V. Dolezal2310580
WJun 30 · 07:30J. Strnad331111113V. Dolezal209830
WJun 22 · 24:00J. Strnad3711113123V. Dolezal359511101
WJun 15 · 01:30J. Strnad56481815113V. Dolezal571111161362
WJun 14 · 02:58J. Strnad331111113V. Dolezal268990
WJun 13 · 23:30J. Strnad4111118113V. Dolezal25441161
WJun 11 · 22:00J. Strnad44101111123V. Dolezal361268101
LJun 8 · 11:00J. Strnad357111161V. Dolezal4411913113
J. Strnad10
LSep 22 · 22:00R. Bartunek1.5311711113J. Strnad2.38811951LSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad1.6141131152V. Dolezal2.20116117113WSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:30J. Strnad2.1047110T. Nohejl1.671111133LSep 21 · 06:30J. Steffan1.251111133J. Strnad3.7596110LSep 19 · 13:30J. Strnad2.10106100M. Stefek1.671211123WSep 19 · 12:30V. Sr2.208101411112J. Strnad1.611112129133WSep 19 · 11:30J. Strnad2.75141111113M. Stefek1.40169551WSep 19 · 10:30P. Berdych2.1041161162J. Strnad1.67118119113LSep 18 · 20:58T. Regner1.331411113J. Strnad3.2512870
V. Dolezal10
LSep 23 · 24:00V. Dolezal1.44891191M. Stefek2.6311113113WSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad1.6141131152V. Dolezal2.20116117113LSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:00V. Dolezal2.00311100J. Steffan1.731113123LSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl2.10711117113V. Dolezal1.6711691162LSep 20 · 08:58T. Kolenic2.101111113V. Dolezal1.678580LSep 20 · 08:00D. Horak1.281111133V. Dolezal3.5077110LSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761WSep 20 · 06:30V. Dolezal1.9111111113T. Kolenic1.80811511WSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.