TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radek Bartunek vs Tomas Regner 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811117911117
Tomas Regner
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 61.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 27–16 Tomas Regner Tomas Regner has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-16 in 43
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1464 vs Regner 1378
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 100% vs Regner 60%
Bartunek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 70% vs Regner 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek +5 · Regner -1
Bartunek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Bartunek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 1.53 / Regner 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Bartunek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169997
Bartunek1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 109 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Regner2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 110 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back26% 34 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek8wins
AwayRegner2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBartunek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek100%6 of 6
AwayRegner50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek6Regner4n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S2Bartunek6Regner4n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S3Bartunek4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S4Bartunek7Regner0n = 7Bartunek took 7 of 7
S5Bartunek3Regner1n = 4Bartunek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekRegnerB − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.133.5+5.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 659 vs 494 / 99952.1%49.5%343 / 659 vs 494 / 999Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekBartunek 1.53/Regner 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 23:00R. Bartunek45561211113T. Regner46111110772
WSep 10 · 23:00R. Bartunek43911111113T. Regner3911811452
WSep 8 · 01:30R. Bartunek44116511113T. Regner3821111952
WSep 1 · 01:30R. Bartunek331111113T. Regner198560
LAug 26 · 02:30R. Bartunek156540T. Regner331111113
WAug 18 · 01:00R. Bartunek4211911113T. Regner32711861
LAug 2 · 24:00R. Bartunek531011131182T. Regner51129154113
WJul 24 · 22:00R. Bartunek4211119113T. Regner30461191
WJun 22 · 20:30R. Bartunek331111113T. Regner187560
WJun 3 · 20:00R. Bartunek4111118113T. Regner29861141
R. Bartunek10
WSep 22 · 22:00R. Bartunek1.5311711113J. Strnad2.38811951WSep 21 · 21:30R. Bartunek1.671111113J. Moravek2.087980WSep 21 · 20:00V. Nohejl2.0012740R. Bartunek1.731411113WSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123WSep 21 · 18:30R. Bartunek1.5061111113M. Stefek2.50117881LSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 02:30J. Steffan1.9159150R. Bartunek1.801111173LSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101WSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:00R. Bartunek2.2048170M. Smrcek1.611111193
T. Regner10
LSep 22 · 22:30T. Regner1.73101111992M. Stefek2.00127711113WSep 22 · 21:30T. Regner2.101111113J. Framberk1.665990WSep 22 · 20:00P. Franc2.385260T. Regner1.531111113WSep 22 · 19:00M. Barta2.7510311101T. Regner1.4012117123LSep 22 · 18:30T. Regner2.25114891J. Framberk1.5791111113WSep 21 · 02:58T. Regner1.831311113M. Stefek1.8311680WSep 21 · 02:30M. Stefek1.83111221142T. Regner1.83514117113LSep 21 · 01:00R. Hasmanda3.503111111113T. Regner1.2811139592LSep 20 · 23:30T. Regner1.8381111121L. Sulava1.8311913143WSep 20 · 22:00T. Regner1.50621111113J. Pleskot2.5011112482
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