TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Pavelka vs Petr Zmuda 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Radim Pavelka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10128111151311811
Petr Zmuda
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 64.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pavelka 6–2 Petr Zmuda Petr Zmuda has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zmuda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Pavelka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pavelka 1564 vs Zmuda 1608
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pavelka 60% vs Zmuda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pavelka 60% vs Zmuda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pavelka +1 · Zmuda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zmuda) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavelka 1.83 / Zmuda 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zmuda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176799
Pavelka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zmuda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePavelka6wins
AwayZmuda2wins
4 of 8 to a deciderPavelka leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavelka100%5 of 5
AwayZmuda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavelka5Zmuda3n = 8Pavelka took 5 of 8
S2Pavelka3Zmuda5n = 8Zmuda took 5 of 8
S3Pavelka5Zmuda3n = 8Pavelka took 5 of 8
S4Pavelka7Zmuda0n = 7Pavelka took 7 of 7
S5Pavelka2Zmuda2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPavelkaZmudaP − ZBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match43.839.5+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavelkaZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 876 vs 129 / 25050.9%51.6%446 / 876 vs 129 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaPavelka 1.83/Zmuda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 23 · 07:00R. Pavelka50108111382P. Zmuda501211511113
WAug 22 · 06:00R. Pavelka3851111113P. Zmuda33118771
WJul 10 · 09:30R. Pavelka6011111115123P. Zmuda567131313102
LJul 10 · 07:00R. Pavelka4176111162P. Zmuda43111164113
WJul 5 · 09:30R. Pavelka46116711113P. Zmuda4781111892
WJul 5 · 06:00R. Pavelka341111123P. Zmuda2798100
WJul 28 · 21:30R. Pavelka4011711113P. Zmuda28611471
WJul 28 · 19:30R. Pavelka4111118113P. Zmuda32481191
R. Pavelka10
WSep 23 · 06:00M. Vedmoch1.91312421R. Pavelka1.80111011113LSep 20 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.651011711113R. Pavelka2.1012511482WSep 20 · 20:30P. Budinsky1.83118441R. Pavelka1.8351111113WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570LSep 20 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.801111113R. Pavelka1.909760WSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121WSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113LSep 20 · 01:00J. Trefny1.9111116113R. Pavelka1.80481141WSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540LSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123
P. Zmuda10
LSep 23 · 06:30P. Zmuda1.4471131192J. Plachy2.63119115113WSep 22 · 17:00P. Zmuda1.571111113M. Vedmoch2.258640WSep 22 · 16:30P. Zmuda2.25114811113M. Volf1.5781111872WSep 22 · 15:00P. Zmuda1.731211113M. Vedmoch2.0010890LSep 22 · 14:00T. Holik1.7311813113P. Zmuda2.008111141WSep 22 · 03:30D. Tuma1.758811111P. Zmuda1.9511118133LSep 22 · 02:00R. Krejci2.001111144113P. Zmuda1.7399161192LSep 22 · 24:30P. Zmuda1.80711881D. Tuma1.9111711113WSep 21 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.61111110113A. Hlawatschke2.20161261WSep 21 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.7311101191P. Zmuda2.0081213113
Upcoming Matches
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