TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Zmuda vs Jiri Plachy 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Petr Zmuda
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119311115911
Jiri Plachy
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr Zmuda at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 9–8 Jiri Plachy Jiri Plachy has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zmuda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmuda 1608 vs Plachy 1529
Zmuda
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmuda 80% vs Plachy 60%
Zmuda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmuda 60% vs Plachy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmuda +3 · Plachy -1
Zmuda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zmuda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.44 / Plachy 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Zmuda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176800
Zmuda1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 58 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Plachy2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 138 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZmuda5wins
AwayPlachy5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmuda80%4 of 5
AwayPlachy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmuda5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S2Zmuda7Plachy3n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S3Zmuda4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S4Zmuda6Plachy2n = 8Zmuda took 6 of 8
S5Zmuda1Plachy4n = 5Plachy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZmudaPlachyZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.1+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 250 vs 735 / 158751.6%46.3%129 / 250 vs 735 / 1587Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.44/Plachy 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:30P. Zmuda4171131192J. Plachy47119115113
WAug 2 · 18:30P. Zmuda331111113J. Plachy198830
WJul 20 · 24:00P. Zmuda4211119113J. Plachy28921161
WJul 10 · 06:30P. Zmuda3961111113J. Plachy27116551
WJul 9 · 24:00P. Zmuda551111616113J. Plachy5159111882
LJul 7 · 13:00P. Zmuda4311771172J. Plachy49711119113
LJul 7 · 10:00P. Zmuda4081171132J. Plachy47116118113
LJul 7 · 06:30P. Zmuda2711880J. Plachy351311113
WJul 6 · 11:00P. Zmuda43111011113J. Plachy36612991
LJul 6 · 09:30P. Zmuda4591111682J. Plachy42116311113
P. Zmuda10
WSep 23 · 07:00R. Pavelka1.83108111382P. Zmuda1.831211511113WSep 22 · 17:00P. Zmuda1.571111113M. Vedmoch2.258640WSep 22 · 16:30P. Zmuda2.25114811113M. Volf1.5781111872WSep 22 · 15:00P. Zmuda1.731211113M. Vedmoch2.0010890LSep 22 · 14:00T. Holik1.7311813113P. Zmuda2.008111141WSep 22 · 03:30D. Tuma1.758811111P. Zmuda1.9511118133LSep 22 · 02:00R. Krejci2.001111144113P. Zmuda1.7399161192LSep 22 · 24:30P. Zmuda1.80711881D. Tuma1.9111711113WSep 21 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.61111110113A. Hlawatschke2.20161261WSep 21 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.7311101191P. Zmuda2.0081213113
J. Plachy10
WSep 23 · 07:30J. Plachy2.20111212113M. Vedmoch1.617101451LSep 21 · 17:30J. Plachy1.91511891L. Babicka1.8011311113WSep 21 · 16:00J. Plachy1.531112113K. Darin2.3881050LSep 21 · 15:30L. Babicka1.9111146113J. Plachy1.809121161WSep 21 · 14:00J. Plachy1.611111113Y. Holovatiuk2.209880WSep 21 · 13:28J. Plachy1.8011101111113L. Babicka1.9113126462LSep 21 · 12:00K. Darin2.38811311113J. Plachy1.5311711502WSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163WSep 21 · 10:30J. Plachy1.801111113L. Babicka1.918930LSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540
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