TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Sobel vs Rafal Stapor 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.72
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411211––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:45 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
811411211––––
H2H Artur Sobel 6–7 Rafal Stapor Artur Sobel has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:45What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1630 vs Stapor 1478
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 80% vs Stapor 100%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 90% vs Stapor 70%
Sobel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +1 · Stapor +6
Stapor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.72 / Stapor 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sobel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13174444
Sobel1.72
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 173 of 287
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it78% 123 of 157
Stapor2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 101 of 287
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel5wins
AwayStapor5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel66.7%4 of 6
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel6Stapor4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S2Sobel2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S3Sobel5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobel6Stapor3n = 9Sobel took 6 of 9
S5Sobel2Stapor2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelStaporSobel − StaporBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.439.5+2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 1190 vs 687 / 121654.4%56.5%647 / 1190 vs 687 / 1216Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.72/Stapor 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 03:50A. Sobel3911611113R. Stapor28411761
WSep 15 · 06:05A. Sobel4011711113R. Stapor29611391
LAug 3 · 07:15A. Sobel341061171R. Stapor3712113113
LJul 28 · 04:25A. Sobel49107121192R. Stapor521211108113
LJul 27 · 07:40A. Sobel341181051R. Stapor3841112113
WJul 21 · 06:05A. Sobel4111118113R. Stapor27861121
LJul 21 · 03:50A. Sobel48119116112R. Stapor50911611133
LJul 14 · 12:40A. Sobel29101180R. Stapor361213113
WJul 13 · 09:25A. Sobel501161111113R. Stapor4551113792
WJun 30 · 05:15A. Sobel6012111411123R. Stapor53146167102
A. Sobel10
WSep 22 · 06:55A. Sobel1.2681411113D. Wrobel3.201112881WSep 22 · 04:10A. Sobel1.124111110113B. Wisniewski5.1011871242LSep 22 · 03:00A. Sobel1.37118981M. Lukaszewski2.7561111113WSep 21 · 14:40A. Sobel1.7671111113P. Blocho1.90115491WSep 21 · 13:05A. Sobel1.361111113F. Krcil2.953670WSep 21 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0081111133D. Solilo1.731149111WSep 21 · 10:10A. Sobel1.30711115113M. Zwolinski3.0511881192WSep 21 · 09:00A. Sobel1.951111113B. Czerwinski1.749720WSep 21 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.659760A. Sobel1.171111113WSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113
R. Stapor10
WSep 22 · 06:30B. Wisniewski3.15911751R. Stapor1.3011911113WSep 22 · 04:55R. Stapor1.85114117113B. Sulkowski1.8071181172WSep 22 · 03:50R. Stapor1.451211113D. Wrobel2.5010760WSep 21 · 08:10R. Stapor1.501291111113M. Lukaszewski2.3514117992WSep 21 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.809780R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590LSep 21 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20411761A. Sobel1.5711611113LSep 20 · 14:35A. Wos1.5311911123R. Stapor2.388117101WSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841
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