TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
3.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611711511––
Artur Sobel
Away
1.16
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
119611711511––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 2–10 Artur Sobel Mariusz Zwolinski has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.16 (76%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-10 in 12
Sobel
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1257 vs Sobel 1609
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 353 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 40% vs Sobel 100%
Sobel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 40% vs Sobel 80%
Sobel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski -2 · Sobel +5
Sobel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 3.70 / Sobel 1.16
Signal prob.20% / 81%
Edge (Sobel)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13166868
Zwolinski3.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Sobel1.16
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 166 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 119 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZwolinski2wins
AwaySobel8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZwolinski50%2 of 4
AwaySobel100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski4Sobel6n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S2Zwolinski3Sobel7n = 10Sobel took 7 of 10
S3Zwolinski1Sobel9n = 10Sobel took 9 of 10
S4Zwolinski1Sobel5n = 6Sobel took 5 of 6
S5Zwolinski2Sobel1n = 3Zwolinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZwolinskiSobelZ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.340.2−6.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 373 vs 643 / 118736.5%54.2%136 / 373 vs 643 / 1187Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelZwolinski 3.70/Sobel 1.16
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.5%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski29116751A. Sobel4291111113
LSep 7 · 13:05M. Zwolinski381271181A. Sobel3814112113
LJan 6 · 10:00M. Zwolinski2367100A. Sobel341111123
WJan 6 · 07:30M. Zwolinski45111166113A. Sobel4799111172
LFeb 11 · 10:50M. Zwolinski2381050A. Sobel341112113
WFeb 11 · 04:25M. Zwolinski48111196113A. Sobel4799111172
LFeb 10 · 10:25M. Zwolinski219480A. Sobel331111113
LFeb 10 · 06:40M. Zwolinski2612860A. Sobel361411113
LJan 7 · 14:55M. Zwolinski399111091A. Sobel4211812113
LJan 7 · 09:40M. Zwolinski4111771152A. Sobel49711119113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113LSep 21 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.839690B. Wisniewski1.871111113WSep 21 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.101111143M. Lukaszewski1.6084120WSep 19 · 14:40M. Durda1.0411118552M. Zwolinski6.00961111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Zwolinski1.9011971192A. Szoltysek1.75811118113LSep 19 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.859111113113M. Zwolinski1.80111361162WSep 19 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski1.86810111132M. Zwolinski1.80111256113WSep 19 · 09:25J. Rolak1.85811891M. Zwolinski1.8511911113LSep 19 · 08:10M. Zwolinski2.0581151142A. Szoltysek1.66115118113LSep 19 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.90611147133M. Zwolinski1.801191211112
A. Sobel10
WSep 21 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.659760A. Sobel1.171111113WSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel1.331111113F. Krcil2.955360WSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162WSep 21 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20411761A. Sobel1.5711611113WSep 15 · 14:40A. Sobel2.00111011113J. Witkowski1.73912761WSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121LSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0099110B. Czerwinski1.711111133WSep 15 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3211911113W. Iwasyszyn3.10211761LSep 15 · 09:00A. Sobel1.68121111872K. Rudomina2.051013311113WSep 15 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.5061111352A. Sobel1.23117411113
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