TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113116––––
Frantisek Krcil
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
115113116––––
H2H Artur Sobel 5–8 Frantisek Krcil Artur Sobel has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Krcil
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1605 vs Krcil 1377
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 80% vs Krcil 20%
Sobel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 80% vs Krcil 20%
Sobel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +4 · Krcil -1
Sobel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.33 / Krcil 2.95
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Sobel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13165967
Sobel1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 166 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 119 of 152
Krcil2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog15% won 3 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel5wins
AwayKrcil5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel62.5%5 of 8
AwayKrciln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel8Krcil2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S2Sobel4Krcil6n = 10Krcil took 6 of 10
S3Sobel6Krcil4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S4Sobel2Krcil5n = 7Krcil took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelKrcilS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.533.3+2.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime642 / 1186 vs 184 / 41354.1%44.6%642 / 1186 vs 184 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.33/Krcil 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel331111113F. Krcil145360
WSep 14 · 09:00A. Sobel331111113F. Krcil205960
WSep 23 · 14:40A. Sobel4111811113F. Krcil27711631
LSep 23 · 06:30A. Sobel26281151F. Krcil3811115113
LJul 1 · 04:10A. Sobel30116581F. Krcil4291111113
WMay 20 · 11:00A. Sobel331111113F. Krcil217680
LApr 29 · 09:25A. Sobel5091311982F. Krcil501111611113
LApr 29 · 06:55A. Sobel32117951F. Krcil4181111113
LMar 25 · 04:55A. Sobel32117861F. Krcil4181111113
WFeb 18 · 12:25A. Sobel45116611113F. Krcil3991111532
A. Sobel10
WSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113WSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162WSep 21 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20411761A. Sobel1.5711611113WSep 15 · 14:40A. Sobel2.00111011113J. Witkowski1.73912761WSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121LSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0099110B. Czerwinski1.711111133WSep 15 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3211911113W. Iwasyszyn3.10211761LSep 15 · 09:00A. Sobel1.68121111872K. Rudomina2.051013311113WSep 15 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.5061111352A. Sobel1.23117411113WSep 15 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn3.308650A. Sobel1.301111113
F. Krcil10
LSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590WSep 21 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.15861151F. Krcil1.5511116113LSep 17 · 14:40F. Krcil3.106760D. Kosmal1.321111113LSep 17 · 13:05F. Krcil1.917710R. Stapor1.741111113LSep 17 · 11:50F. Krcil2.6511991182J. Zochniak1.38811119113LSep 17 · 10:10F. Krcil1.848620W. Suchecki1.871111113LSep 17 · 09:00F. Krcil2.2012119452M. Minda1.621041111113LSep 17 · 08:10F. Krcil1.4311471182B. Wisniewski2.50911115113LSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:40W. Suchecki2.752680F. Krcil1.371111113
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