TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181141412––––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1181141412––––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 2–3 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Lukaszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1266 vs Lukaszewski 1359
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 60% vs Lukaszewski 20%
Zwolinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 50% vs Lukaszewski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski +1 · Lukaszewski -3
Lukaszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lukaszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 2.10 / Lukaszewski 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13164465
Zwolinski2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 48 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Lukaszewski1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 74 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZwolinski2wins
AwayLukaszewski3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZwolinskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLukaszewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski1Lukaszewski4n = 5Lukaszewski took 4 of 5
S2Zwolinski3Lukaszewski2n = 5Zwolinski took 3 of 5
S3Zwolinski2Lukaszewski3n = 5Lukaszewski took 3 of 5
S4Zwolinski4Lukaszewski0n = 4Zwolinski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricZwolinskiLukaszewskiZ − LBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match41.041.6−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 369 vs 906 / 199336.6%45.5%135 / 369 vs 906 / 1993Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiZwolinski 2.10/Lukaszewski 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zwolinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 9 · 05:40M. Zwolinski4791116113M. Lukaszewski391191451
LSep 2 · 03:50M. Zwolinski4155111192M. Lukaszewski43111146113
LAug 19 · 04:10M. Zwolinski3491690M. Lukaszewski401118113
WAug 2 · 09:00M. Zwolinski3711114113M. Lukaszewski31971141
LAug 2 · 07:40M. Zwolinski4651481272M. Lukaszewski5511121110113
M. Zwolinski10
WSep 19 · 14:40M. Durda1.0411118552M. Zwolinski6.00961111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Zwolinski1.9011971192A. Szoltysek1.75811118113LSep 19 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.859111113113M. Zwolinski1.80111361162WSep 19 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski1.86810111132M. Zwolinski1.80111256113WSep 19 · 09:25J. Rolak1.85811891M. Zwolinski1.8511911113LSep 19 · 08:10M. Zwolinski2.0581151142A. Szoltysek1.66115118113LSep 19 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.90611147133M. Zwolinski1.801191211112LSep 19 · 05:40W. Suchecki1.8581113113M. Zwolinski1.851161151WSep 19 · 04:55M. Zwolinski1.836101111113J. Rolak1.8611126652WSep 19 · 03:50M. Zwolinski6.10611911113M. Durda1.0311411772
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 20 · 14:15K. Kufel1.4071111113M. Lukaszewski2.75118951LSep 20 · 13:25M. Misiak1.601111113M. Lukaszewski2.108340LSep 20 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.751111133M. Lukaszewski1.9547110WSep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.7069110M. Lukaszewski2.001111133LSep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.63131367113M. Lukaszewski2.151111111152WSep 20 · 08:05M. Misiak1.6077111172M. Lukaszewski2.10111159113LSep 20 · 07:15M. Zagajewski1.6211711113M. Lukaszewski2.20611971WSep 20 · 05:15P. Staniszewski1.857711111M. Lukaszewski1.8011119133WSep 20 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.85711121142M. Lukaszewski1.80116146113WSep 20 · 03:00K. Kufel1.408580M. Lukaszewski2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Zwolinski
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M. Lukaszewski
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