TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111161214116411
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
7111161214116411
H2H Igor Dabrowski 43–33 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 33 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lukaszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-33 in 76
Dabrowski
Wrong
gap of 10 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1389 vs Lukaszewski 1386
Dabrowski
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 60% vs Lukaszewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 60% vs Lukaszewski 40%
Dabrowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski +2 · Lukaszewski +3
Lukaszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukaszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.85 / Lukaszewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13161325
Dabrowski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 112 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Lukaszewski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 74 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski6wins
AwayLukaszewski4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDabrowski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayLukaszewski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski7Lukaszewski3n = 10Dabrowski took 7 of 10
S2Dabrowski5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Dabrowski8Lukaszewski2n = 10Dabrowski took 8 of 10
S4Dabrowski3Lukaszewski4n = 7Lukaszewski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiLukaszewskiD − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.633.4+3.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1596 vs 903 / 198850.3%45.4%803 / 1596 vs 903 / 1988Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiDabrowski 1.85/Lukaszewski 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 04:30I. Dabrowski331111113M. Lukaszewski197480
WAug 17 · 08:35I. Dabrowski4011711113M. Lukaszewski24411631
LJun 16 · 01:00I. Dabrowski4391112292M. Lukaszewski501171011113
WJun 15 · 22:35I. Dabrowski331111113M. Lukaszewski184590
WJun 15 · 20:30I. Dabrowski331111113M. Lukaszewski227780
LJun 5 · 13:50I. Dabrowski391191091M. Lukaszewski4281112113
LJun 5 · 07:30I. Dabrowski28125381M. Lukaszewski43101111113
LJun 5 · 05:00I. Dabrowski32761181M. Lukaszewski3911116113
WMay 28 · 10:55I. Dabrowski4216311123M. Lukaszewski4414119101
WApr 27 · 12:10I. Dabrowski4391111123M. Lukaszewski331166101
I. Dabrowski10
WSep 20 · 06:50K. Kufel1.8061150I. Dabrowski1.911113113WSep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski1.8751111113M. Zagajewski1.83114471WSep 20 · 03:40M. Misiak1.80961161I. Dabrowski1.9011119113WSep 19 · 07:40W. Gronowski1.908111191I. Dabrowski1.7511813113LSep 19 · 06:50M. Minda1.57111110143I. Dabrowski2.258712121LSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.20791181B. Mleczko1.6011119113WSep 19 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.54116112113D. Wrobel2.2581191132LSep 19 · 03:40D. Poloszczanski2.7512711113I. Dabrowski1.401011961WSep 13 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.775930I. Dabrowski1.951111113WSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.8371111672I. Dabrowski1.81118311113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 20 · 05:15P. Staniszewski1.857711111M. Lukaszewski1.8011119133WSep 20 · 03:00K. Kufel1.408580M. Lukaszewski2.751111113WSep 19 · 01:30M. Woskowicz1.671115891M. Lukaszewski2.1061711113WSep 18 · 23:55P. Blocho1.40111171162M. Lukaszewski2.75137116113LSep 18 · 23:15K. Staszczyk1.2011118113M. Lukaszewski4.33461161LSep 18 · 22:30B. Sulkowski1.6711127113M. Lukaszewski2.105101171LSep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek1.281310711113M. Lukaszewski3.50111211462LSep 17 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.22671111113M. Lukaszewski4.0011118352WSep 17 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski1.80115911113A. Mugowski1.9181111672LSep 17 · 21:00K. Rudomina1.531111143M. Lukaszewski2.3864120
Upcoming Matches
I. Dabrowski
M. Lukaszewski
Sep 20 · 07:15M. Lukaszewski2.25M. Zagajewski1.54—Sep 20 · 08:05M. Lukaszewski2.10M. Misiak1.60—Sep 20 · 09:00M. Lukaszewski2.20I. Dabrowski1.57—Sep 20 · 10:30M. Lukaszewski2.25M. Zagajewski1.54—Sep 20 · 11:20M. Lukaszewski2.20P. Maruszak1.60—Sep 20 · 13:25M. Lukaszewski2.12M. Misiak1.52—Sep 20 · 14:15M. Lukaszewski2.65K. Kufel1.32—
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