Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Starts 13:00Scheduled

Igor Dabrowski

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

31 – 34

All 65 meetings · 47.7%

Last 10 · 6–4Split

Mateusz Zagajewski

Away

1.71

At publish

Lost last 2

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 7h before this match

Dabrowski beat Zagajewski 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDabrowski 2.00 / Zagajewski 1.71

TT Elite Series · #13163101

Dabrowski2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 112 of 279

Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 160

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79

Zagajewski1.71

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 33 of 51

Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it92% 23 of 25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDabrowski6wins

AwayZagajewski4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderDabrowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDabrowski80%4 of 5

AwayZagajewski60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dabrowski5Zagajewski5n = 10split evenly

S2Dabrowski6Zagajewski4n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10

S3Dabrowski5Zagajewski5n = 10split evenly

S4Dabrowski7Zagajewski3n = 10Dabrowski took 7 of 10

S5Dabrowski1Zagajewski2n = 3Zagajewski took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDabrowskiZagajewskiD − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.8+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDabrowskiZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime804 / 1598 vs 360 / 72950.3%49.4%804 / 1598 vs 360 / 729Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski3851111113M. Zagajewski26114471

LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski4251271172M. Zagajewski511110118113

LSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski317111121M. Zagajewski4211137113

WAug 30 · 13:00I. Dabrowski4011117113M. Zagajewski31571181

WAug 30 · 06:50I. Dabrowski44111111113M. Zagajewski36781381

LJun 21 · 10:05I. Dabrowski30117571M. Zagajewski3961111113

WJun 21 · 06:50I. Dabrowski4011711113M. Zagajewski30611581

LMay 15 · 10:10I. Dabrowski3981111542M. Zagajewski47117711113

WMay 15 · 05:40I. Dabrowski3911115123M. Zagajewski326511101

WMay 8 · 10:10I. Dabrowski49971111113M. Zagajewski4411114992

I. Dabrowski10

LSep 20 · 07:40P. Staniszewski2.00111179113I. Dabrowski1.7076111182 WSep 20 · 06:50K. Kufel1.8061150I. Dabrowski1.911113113 WSep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski1.8751111113M. Zagajewski1.83114471 LSep 20 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.85711121142M. Lukaszewski1.80116146113 WSep 20 · 03:40M. Misiak1.80961161I. Dabrowski1.9011119113 WSep 19 · 07:40W. Gronowski1.908111191I. Dabrowski1.7511813113 LSep 19 · 06:50M. Minda1.57111110143I. Dabrowski2.258712121 LSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.20791181B. Mleczko1.6011119113 WSep 19 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.54116112113D. Wrobel2.2581191132 LSep 19 · 03:40D. Poloszczanski2.7512711113I. Dabrowski1.401011961

M. Zagajewski10

LSep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski1.8751111113M. Zagajewski1.83114471 LSep 20 · 04:50M. Misiak1.8011116113M. Zagajewski1.90961181 WSep 20 · 03:20P. Staniszewski2.2573111262M. Zagajewski1.541111310113 LSep 11 · 14:40B. Sulkowski1.8011114113M. Zagajewski1.86681171 WSep 11 · 13:30M. Zagajewski1.9511711113B. Czerwinski1.75811681 LSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122 WSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123 WSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113 WSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski1.528111011113B. Wisniewski2.3711812992 WSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113

Upcoming Matches

I. Dabrowski

Sep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.57M. Lukaszewski2.20—Sep 20 · 10:05I. Dabrowski1.86P. Maruszak1.83—Sep 20 · 11:45I. Dabrowski2.25K. Kufel1.54—Sep 20 · 14:35I. Dabrowski1.72M. Misiak1.83—

M. Zagajewski

Sep 20 · 07:15M. Zagajewski1.62M. Lukaszewski2.20—Sep 20 · 08:30M. Zagajewski2.10K. Kufel1.66—Sep 20 · 09:45M. Zagajewski2.10K. Kufel1.66—Sep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.54M. Lukaszewski2.25—Sep 20 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.76M. Misiak1.90—Sep 20 · 13:50M. Zagajewski1.63P. Maruszak1.94—

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