TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Mateusz Misiak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611119611––
Igor Dabrowski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
911611119611––
H2H Mateusz Misiak 16–10 Igor Dabrowski Igor Dabrowski has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:18What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Misiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Misiak
Wrong
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Misiak 1336 vs Dabrowski 1379
Dabrowski
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Misiak 20% vs Dabrowski 40%
Dabrowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Misiak 40% vs Dabrowski 60%
Dabrowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Misiak -4 · Dabrowski +1
Misiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabrowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMisiak 1.80 / Dabrowski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Misiak)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13159578
Misiak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 11) · back after a break
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 189 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it81% 153 of 188
Dabrowski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 113 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMisiak7wins
AwayDabrowski3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMisiak leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMisiak50%3 of 6
AwayDabrowski0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Misiak6Dabrowski4n = 10Misiak took 6 of 10
S2Misiak7Dabrowski3n = 10Misiak took 7 of 10
S3Misiak5Dabrowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Misiak4Dabrowski5n = 9Dabrowski took 5 of 9
S5Misiak4Dabrowski2n = 6Misiak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMisiakDabrowskiM − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.641.9+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMisiakDabrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1047 / 1977 vs 803 / 159653%50.3%1047 / 1977 vs 803 / 1596Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakMisiak 1.80/Dabrowski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 10:10M. Misiak501012114133I. Dabrowski471210311112
LAug 28 · 05:40M. Misiak351168101I. Dabrowski4391111123
WAug 7 · 11:25M. Misiak44513411113I. Dabrowski51111111992
LJul 31 · 13:30M. Misiak44118101142I. Dabrowski46711125113
WJul 31 · 03:50M. Misiak331111113I. Dabrowski206590
WJun 21 · 12:35M. Misiak45512134113I. Dabrowski511110111182
WJun 21 · 03:00M. Misiak4211711133I. Dabrowski389117111
WJun 6 · 09:55M. Misiak4211119113I. Dabrowski34781181
WJun 6 · 08:45M. Misiak45511117113I. Dabrowski4311961162
LFeb 24 · 02:25M. Misiak46111177102I. Dabrowski46751111123
M. Misiak10
WSep 20 · 04:50M. Misiak1.8011116113M. Zagajewski1.90961181LSep 11 · 14:20M. Misiak2.05714841B. Czerwinski1.65111211113LSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150LSep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.9211411113M. Misiak1.73811861LSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123WSep 11 · 09:50M. Misiak1.95116411133B. Mleczko1.74911117112LSep 11 · 08:35M. Misiak1.90871161R. Stapor1.8011119113WSep 11 · 06:55M. Misiak1.90611611113J. Glanowski1.8211811982WSep 11 · 05:40M. Misiak1.80121211113M. Zagajewski1.861014771LSep 11 · 04:10M. Misiak1.56812101192M. Trela2.181110126113
I. Dabrowski10
WSep 19 · 07:40W. Gronowski1.908111191I. Dabrowski1.7511813113LSep 19 · 06:50M. Minda1.57111110143I. Dabrowski2.258712121LSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.20791181B. Mleczko1.6011119113WSep 19 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.54116112113D. Wrobel2.2581191132LSep 19 · 03:40D. Poloszczanski2.7512711113I. Dabrowski1.401011961WSep 13 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.775930I. Dabrowski1.951111113WSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.8371111672I. Dabrowski1.81118311113LSep 13 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.4231060D. Solilo1.451112113WSep 13 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.581112113M. Piecowski2.1591070WSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Misiak
I. Dabrowski
Sep 20 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.85M. Lukaszewski1.80—Sep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski1.95M. Zagajewski1.74—Sep 20 · 06:50I. Dabrowski2.25K. Kufel1.57—Sep 20 · 07:40I. Dabrowski1.57P. Staniszewski2.20—Sep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.57M. Lukaszewski2.20—Sep 20 · 10:05I. Dabrowski1.83P. Maruszak1.72—Sep 20 · 11:45I. Dabrowski2.27K. Kufel1.45—
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